Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Radomiak Radom 2-1 Cracovia Krakow.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Radomiak Radom, 26% draw, 43% Cracovia Krakow — fair odds of 3.23, 3.85 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Cracovia Krakow at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1F. MajchrowiczG
- 24Zie OuattaraD
- 3K. SzczesniakD
- 72F. KoperskiD
- 13J. GrzesikD
- 77C. DonisM
- 7C. NunnelyM
- 27R. WolskiM
- 82LuquinhasM
- 90R. LumungoM
- 11F. GoureF
- 99B. GradeckiG
- 44W. KoptasG
- 97ConradoD
- 5J. BlascoD
- 14S. KingueD
- 28R. BaroM
- 8I. CamaraM
- 23K. KarasekM
- 80Guilherme LuizF
- 13S. MadejskiG
- 25O. KakabadzeD
- 4G. HenrikssonD
- 61B. TraoreD
- 39M. PerkovicD
- 43M. KlichM
- 6A. Al AmmariM
- 79D. PilaM
- 14A. HasicM
- 17M. MinchevM
- 90M. BerteF
- 23H. RavasG
- 77J. ChrapustaG
- 28V. BurletD
- 15K. GlikD
- 22D. BaumgartnerD
- 7M. PraszelikM
- 20K. KnapM
- 70D. KameriM
- 5B. SelanM
Form going into Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow
Radomiak Radom
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Zaglebie Lubin23 August 2026
- L0-5away to Legia Warszawa14 August 2026
- L1-3Gornik Zabrze8 August 2026
- L1-3away to GKS Katowice2 August 2026
- W2-1Wieczysta Kraków24 July 2026
Cracovia Krakow
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Wieczysta Kraków21 August 2026
- W2-1Raków Częstochowa16 August 2026
- D0-0away to Slask Wroclaw9 August 2026
- L0-2Pogon Szczecin3 August 2026
- D0-0away to Lech Poznan25 July 2026
What these results say
- Radomiak Radom failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Radomiak Radom conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Radomiak Radom had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Cracovia Krakow | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow
- 11 May 2026Cracovia Krakow 0–0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 7 November 2025Radomiak Radom 3–0 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
- 8 March 2025Cracovia Krakow 1–2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 31 August 2024Radomiak Radom 2–1 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
- 3 July 2024Cracovia Krakow 0–1 Radomiak RadomFriendlies Clubs
- 10 February 2024Cracovia Krakow 6–0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Radomiak Radom and Cracovia Krakow
Radomiak Radom
GoalsAssists
- J. Grzesik53
Cracovia Krakow
GoalsAssists
- A. Hasić72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Radomiak Radom beat Cracovia Krakow 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Cracovia Krakow at 43% and given a win for Radomiak Radom 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: M. Minchev 47' for Cracovia Krakow, R. Wolski 55' for Radomiak Radom, R. Wolski (penalty) 64' for Radomiak Radom. On expected goals it finished 1.89–2.02.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.