Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Energie Cottbus 3-4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Energie Cottbus, 25% draw, 46% SpVgg Greuther Fürth — fair odds of 3.45, 4.00 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Energie Cottbus
- L0-3away to Arminia Bielefeld16 August 2026
- W3-1Hannover 969 August 2026
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- L2-41. FC Nürnberg15 August 2026
- D1-1away to FC St. Pauli9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- 4 May 2014Energie Cottbus 0–6 SpVgg Greuther Furth2. Bundesliga
- 1 December 2013SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
- 5 April 2012SpVgg Greuther Furth 3–0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
- 22 October 2011Energie Cottbus 0–2 SpVgg Greuther Furth2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Energie Cottbus and SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Energie Cottbus
- T. Ciğerci4 goals1 assists
- J. Butler2 goals1 assists
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- F. Klaus5 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.