Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Fayha 2-2 Al Kholood.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Al-Fayha, 30% draw, 35% Al Kholood — fair odds of 2.86, 3.33 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Al-Fayha at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 52O. MosqueraG
- 22M. Al BaqawiD
- 15P. OliveiraD
- 2M. Al RashidiD
- 24A. BamsaudD
- 30Alfa SemedoM
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 6A. Al HussainM
- 7N. Al HarthiF
- 17LazaroF
- 10F. SakalaF
- 1A. Al DuqaylG
- 21Z. Al SahafiD
- 47M. Al DowaishD
- 14M. Al BesheM
- 43F. AlhubayshiM
- 23Jason RemeseiroF
- 9M. Al AbdulmanamF
- 77R. Enad
- 35S. GanvoulaF
- 1A. M. Yousef H.G
- 15R. SolanD
- 5E. UtkusD
- 25M. CamaraD
- 38S. PinasD
- 10I. KortajarenaM
- 8S. CisseM
- 6J. BuckleyM
- 46A. Al Aliwa
- 22J. DominguesF
- 11C. da CostaF
- 48M. Al YahyaG
- 23Y. MadaniD
- 7S. Al ShehriD
- 47A. Al ObaidD
- 24O. Abdulghani
- 67M. Al Rashidi
- 39A. Al DawsariM
- 70M. SawanM
- 26Y. Al ZubaidiF
Form going into Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood
Al-Fayha
No earlier matches on record this season.
Al Kholood
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Al-Ahli Jeddah29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Fayha and Al Kholood
Al-Fayha
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Al Kholood
GoalsAssists
- J. Domingues63
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Fayha and Al Kholood drew 2–2. The goals: Hugo Moura 5' for Al-Fayha, I. Kortajarena 14' for Al Kholood, F. Sakala 57' for Al-Fayha, J. Domingues 88' for Al Kholood. On expected goals it finished 0.86–2.12.