NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat Pro League prediction & result
Final score: NEOM 3-0 Al Khaleej Saihat.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% NEOM, 29% draw, 27% Al Khaleej Saihat — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
NEOM at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. BulkaG
- 2M. Al BuraykD
- 5M. SarrD
- 44N. ZezeD
- 27I. HawsawiD
- 77M. Al SaadM
- 15A. Al OyayariM
- 72A. KoneM
- 14K. Al AbsiM
- 91A. LacazetteF
- 70H. CamaraF
- 81L. MaximianoG
- 19M. Abu TahaD
- 75K. Al RammahD
- 55M. Al DossaryD
- 4K. Al DawsariD
- 8F. Al GhamdiM
- 23V. VadaM
- 18A. Hejji
- 22A. Al AnziF
- 49A. MorisG
- 29R. Al ShanqitiD
- 4K. KouyateD
- 3M. Al KhabraniD
- 5P. RebochoD
- 12M. KanabahM
- 8O. MascarellM
- 18N. Al SaadiM
- 19M. CrespoM
- 99M. BarrowM
- 90T. Al KhaibriF
- 96M. Al HaidariG
- 39S. Al HamsalD
- 17A. Al HafithD
- 14A. Al ShaafiD
- 10A. FulginiM
- 16B. M. MunshiM
- 15M. HamziF
- 28H. Al EisaF
- 11S. Al AmriF
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NEOM | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 22 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: NEOM and Al Khaleej Saihat
NEOM
GoalsAssists
- A. Lacazette72
Al Khaleej Saihat
GoalsAssists
- J. King50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
NEOM beat Al Khaleej Saihat 3–0. The model had made a win for NEOM its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Lacazette 37' for NEOM, M. Al Saad 39' for NEOM, A. Kone 45' for NEOM. On expected goals it finished 1.33–0.22.