Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Diriyah 0-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Al Diriyah, 30% draw, 38% Al-Qadisiyah FC — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Al-Qadisiyah FC at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 22N. VasiljG
- 99C. MbembaD
- 87Q. LajamiD
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 5I. GueyeM
- 2A. Al FarajM
- 17C. DiandyM
- 20E. MillotM
- 16K. A. Al Sibyani H.M
- 14O. RodriguezF
- 29D. NunezF
- 97A. Al BukhariG
- 21M. HameranD
- 78K. Al AsiriD
- 88A. Al MalkiM
- 52H. Al QahtaniM
- 6S. Al FarhanM
- 11H. BahebriF
- 75M. Al NemerF
- 32A. Al ZaidF
- 1K. CasteelsG
- 4J. ThakriD
- 6N. FernandezD
- 17G. AlvarezD
- 2M. Abu Al ShamatM
- 15M. Al QahtaniM
- 10M. Al JuwayrM
- 5J. WeiglM
- 22C. Bonsu BaahM
- 33J. QuinonesF
- 32M. ReteguiF
- 28A. Al KassarG
- 12Y. Al ShahraniD
- 7T. Al AmmarM
- 90A. Al YuhaybiM
- 40I. MahnashiM
- 88C. PuertasM
- 27E. HoussaM
- 9A. Al SalemF
- 77S. Harun
Form going into Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Diriyah
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Al-Ettifaq29 August 2026
Al-Qadisiyah FC
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Al-Faisaly FC30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 12 | +20 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Diriyah and Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Diriyah
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Al-Qadisiyah FC
GoalsAssists
- T. Reijnders83
- M. Retegui72
- J. Quiñones65
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Qadisiyah FC won 2–0 at Al Diriyah. The model had made a win for Al-Qadisiyah FC its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Retegui (penalty) 51' for Al-Qadisiyah FC, J. Quinones 58' for Al-Qadisiyah FC. Sent off: Óscar Rodríguez (Al Diriyah) 90+6'. On expected goals it finished 1.01–1.17.