Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Shabab 0-2 Al-Hilal.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Al Shabab, 27% draw, 41% Al-Hilal — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Hilal at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. DiawG
- 17M. Al ThaniD
- 4T. JedvajD
- 3M. T. BarryD
- 40A. Al AsmariD
- 22H. Al HammamiM
- 8J. BrownhillM
- 29Y. AdliM
- 10Y. CarrascoM
- 11D. PodenceF
- 9R. B. Martinez TobinsonF
- 33M. Al MahasnehG
- 2M. Al ShwirekhD
- 94M. Al RajehD
- 74A. Al HadhoodF
- 6A. Al NashriM
- 24A. Al OboudF
- 77H. Al DubaisF
- 37A. Matuq
- 99H. Al KhorayefF
- 37BonoG
- 2M. MahzariD
- 87H. TambaktiD
- 3K. KoulibalyD
- 24M. Al HarbiD
- 22S. Milinkovic-SavicM
- 28M. KannoM
- 8R. NevesM
- 38C. SummervilleM
- 27S. MandashF
- 11O. WatkinsF
- 33M. Al OwaisG
- 44S. Al Mutairi
- 55M. Al DawoodD
- 6N. Al DawsariM
- 77N. Al HabashiD
- 18M. Al HawsawiM
- 7G. MartinelliF
- 75M. MeiteF
- 72S. DahalF
Form going into Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal
Al Shabab
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Al-Hazm30 August 2026
Al-Hilal
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Al-Ahli Jeddah1 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al Shabab | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 14 |
| 1 | Al-Hilal | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 9 | +23 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Shabab and Al-Hilal
Al Shabab
GoalsAssists
- Y. Carrasco61
Al-Hilal
GoalsAssists
- Gabriel Martinelli60
- O. Watkins55
- Rúben Neves53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Hilal won 2–0 at Al Shabab. The model had made a win for Al-Hilal its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: S. Milinkovic-Savic 53' for Al-Hilal, R. Neves (penalty) 87' for Al-Hilal. On expected goals it finished 0.77–4.04.
How the call on Al Shabab v Al-Hilal has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 36% / 28% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 32% / 27% / 41%: the biggest move is Al-Hilal's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Al Shabab win32%▼ −4
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Al-Hilal win41%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.