Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Philadelphia Union 2-0 CF Montreal.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Philadelphia Union, 28% draw, 26% CF Montreal — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Philadelphia Union at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
- W3-1away to New York Red Bulls29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Austin23 August 2026
- D2-2Inter Miami19 August 2026
- W3-2away to New York City FC16 August 2026
- W3-2Atlanta United FC1 August 2026
CF Montreal
- L1-7away to Inter Miami29 August 2026
- D2-2Los Angeles Galaxy22 August 2026
- W2-1away to Columbus Crew19 August 2026
- D1-1DC United15 August 2026
- D2-2New England Revolution1 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Leading scorers: Philadelphia Union and CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
- M. Iloski12 goals2 assists
CF Montreal
- P. Owusu13 goals6 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.