20 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II Segunda División prediction & result

UD Almería Stadium, Almeria
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Almeria 2-0 Celta de Vigo II.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Almeria, 28% draw, 29% Celta de Vigo II — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Almeria at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Almeria99%Draw1%Celta de Vigo II0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Nicolás Melamed Ribaudoassist: Javier Muñoz Jiménez
6'
⚽Javier Muñoz Jiménezassist: Marcos Luna
18'
45'
🔁Ángel Arcosout: Mateo Sobral Sabajanes
45'
🔁Bernard Sarpong Somuahout: Alvaro·Marin Sesma
🔁Stefan Džodićout: Mikel Vesga
45'
🔁Nicolás Melamed Ribaudoout: Sergio Arribas Calvo
62'
64'
🔁Joel Lopezout: Pablo Gavián Alonso
73'
🔁Hugo Cuencaout: Vladimir Henrique Silva
🔁Adrián Embarbaout: Álex Sola
79'
🔁Brian Cipengaout: Jon Morcillo
79'
83'
🔁Óscar Marcosout: Aldrine Kibet
87'
Adrià Capdevila
🔁Miguel De La Fuenteout: Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo
88'

Match stats — Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II

51%Possession49%
16Shots12
6On target1
2Corners5

Line-ups

Almeria 4-2-3-1
  • 1Andrés FernándezG
  • 2Marcos LunaD
  • 21ChumiD
  • 18F. BoniniD
  • 3Álex MuñozD
  • 29S. DžodićM
  • 14Javi MuñozM
  • 23Adri EmbarbaM
  • 10Nico MelamedM
  • 17B. CipengaM
  • 24Miguel de la FuenteF
Substitutes
  • 22D. ChirinoD
  • 9ThalysF
  • 12Léo BaptistãoF
  • 30Jesús LópezG
  • 13Fernando MartínezG
  • 7Jon MorcilloF
  • 5Jorge PulidoD
  • 20Álex SolaF
  • 6Mikel VesgaM
Coach: Xavier García Pimienta
Celta de Vigo II 3-4-3
  • 1Coke CarrilloG
  • 3K. RibesD
  • 6P. MeixusD
  • 20A. RodriguezD
  • 23G. MillerM
  • 16Adrià CapdevilaM
  • 17H. CuencaM
  • 18Joel LópezM
  • 10O. MarcosF
  • 7B. SomuahF
  • 11Ángel ArcosF
Substitutes
  • 13Caio BaroneG
  • 19A. Davila OutereloF
  • 2P. GavianD
  • 25M. GonzalezG
  • 28Vladimir Henrique SilvaF
  • 15A. KibetM
  • 9A. MarinF
  • 4S. M. NdiayeD
  • 14Jan OliverasD
Coach: Fredi

Form going into Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II

Almeria

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Cordoba12 September 2026
  • W3-2Cadiz6 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Sabadell29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Tenerife23 August 2026
  • W3-0Eldense17 August 2026

Celta de Vigo II

All competitions we cover

  • L0-4Eibar14 September 2026
  • W2-0away to AD Ceuta FC5 September 2026
  • L1-2Castellón31 August 2026
  • W4-2FC Andorra24 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Cadiz15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Almeria1410222611+1532
17Celta de Vigo II133461925-613

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Almeria and Celta de Vigo II

Almeria

GoalsAssists

  • Miguel de la Fuente91

Celta de Vigo II

GoalsAssists

  • A. Marin81

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Almeria beat Celta de Vigo II 2–0. The model had made a win for Almeria its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo 6' for Almeria, Javier Muñoz Jiménez 18' for Almeria.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.