20 September 2026, 11:30 UTC

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Bielefeld
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 1. FC Heidenheim.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Arminia Bielefeld, 28% draw, 41% 1. FC Heidenheim — fair odds of 3.23, 3.57 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

1. FC Heidenheim at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Arminia Bielefeld4%Draw91%1. FC Heidenheim5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Joel Grodowski
13'
20'
Paul Hennrich
24'
Patrick Mainka
Maximilian Bauer
28'
30'
⚽Budu Zivzivadze (pen)
45+3'
⚽Paul Hennrichassist: Marnon Busch
🔁Henri Koudossouout: Felix Hagmann
45'
🔁Jannik Rocheltout: Leon Jensen
45'
⚽Felix Hagmannassist: Leon Jensen
55'
59'
Jan Schoppner
Joel Grodowski
59'
🔁monju thaddaus momuluhout: Benjamin boakye
64'
🔁David Minout: Isaiah Young
64'
70'
🔁Christian Contehout: Mathias Honsak
71'
🔁Alessandro Vogtout: Mikkel Kaufmann
Maximilian Grosser
76'
77'
🔁Paul Hennrichout: Yannik Wagner
85'
🔁Julian niehuesout: Luca Kerber
85'
🔁Budu Zivzivadzeout: Oualid Mhamdi
88'
Luca Kerber

Match stats — Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim

42%Possession58%
6Shots14
3On target7
5Corners6

Line-ups

Arminia Bielefeld 4-4-2
  • 1J. KerskenG
  • 7H. KoudossouD
  • 5M. BauerD
  • 19M. GroßerD
  • 29T. HandwerkerD
  • 14M. MomuluhM
  • 21S. RussoM
  • 38M. WörlM
  • 11J. GrodowskiM
  • 10J. RocheltF
  • 9D. MinF
Substitutes
  • 30I. YoungF
  • 42T. WegenerM
  • 17A. SickerD
  • 18L. OppermannG
  • 6M. MehlemM
  • 31L. JensenM
  • 2F. HagmannD
  • 3J. FelixD
  • 27Benjamin Bediako BoakyeF
Coach: Oliver Kirch
1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-2
  • 33T. DähneG
  • 2M. BuschD
  • 6P. MainkaD
  • 19J. FöhrenbachD
  • 27M. HeuleD
  • 8P. HennrichM
  • 3J. SchöppnerM
  • 16J. NiehuesM
  • 10C. ContehM
  • 18A. VogtF
  • 11B. ZivzivadzeF
Substitutes
  • 4T. SierslebenD
  • 23L. PaqaradaD
  • 38Y. WagnerF
  • 1Frank FellerG
  • 41M. ZrilicM
  • 17M. HonsakF
  • 29M. KaufmannF
  • 20L. KerberM
  • 22O. MhamdiD
Coach: F. Schmidt

Form going into Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to SV Darmstadt 9811 September 2026
  • D2-2FC St. Pauli4 September 2026
  • L1-4away to 1. FC Nürnberg29 August 2026
  • W3-0Energie Cottbus16 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Karlsruher SC8 August 2026

1. FC Heidenheim

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Holstein Kiel13 September 2026
  • W1-0away to SpVgg Greuther Fürth6 September 2026
  • W5-3Dynamo Dresden29 August 2026
  • L1-4away to Hertha BSC15 August 2026
  • W4-3VfL Osnabrück8 August 2026

What these results say

  • Arminia Bielefeld scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Arminia Bielefeld had three goals or more.
  • Arminia Bielefeld failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 1. FC Heidenheim scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 1. FC Heidenheim won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Arminia Bielefeld115241816+217
71. FC Heidenheim114431920-116

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim

  • 26 February 2023Arminia Bielefeld 0–1 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
  • 21 August 2022FC Heidenheim 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
  • 28 June 2020Arminia Bielefeld 3–0 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
  • 14 December 2019FC Heidenheim 0–0 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
  • 22 December 2018Arminia Bielefeld 1–2 FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: Arminia Bielefeld and 1. FC Heidenheim

Arminia Bielefeld

GoalsAssists

  • J. Grodowski72

1. FC Heidenheim

No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Arminia Bielefeld and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for 1. FC Heidenheim at 41% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Joel Grodowski 13' for Arminia Bielefeld, Budu Zivzivadze (penalty) 30' for 1. FC Heidenheim, Paul Hennrich 45+3' for 1. FC Heidenheim, Felix Hagmann 55' for Arminia Bielefeld.

How the call on Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Heidenheim has moved

First published on 6 Sep at 32% / 29% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 31% / 28% / 41%: the biggest move is 1. FC Heidenheim's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Arminia Bielefeld win31%▼ −1
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. 1. FC Heidenheim win41%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.