19 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Hertha BSC.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Dynamo Dresden, 28% draw, 31% Hertha BSC — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dynamo Dresden at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dynamo Dresden0%Draw5%Hertha BSC95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Patrice Čovićassist: Vincent Vermeij
10'
29'
⚽Jón Dagur Þórsteinssonassist: Josip Brekalo
Robert Wagner
32'
37'
Mads Valentin Pedersen
Ahmet Muhamedbegovic
39'
43'
Josip Brekalo
45'
🔁Sebastian Gronningout: Gustaf Nilsson
57'
•Oluwaseun Adewumi
🔁Vincent Vermeijout: Christoph Daferner
66'
🔁Niklas Hauptmannout: Tobias Raschl
66'
74'
🔁Julian Eitschbergerout: Deyovaisio Zeefuik
74'
🔁Oluwaseun Adewumiout: Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
🔁Patrice Čovićout: Jakob Lemmer
74'
🔁Nicolai Rappout: Friedrich Müller
74'
🔁Simon Straudiout: Jonas Sterner
74'
80'
⚽Jón Dagur Þórsteinssonassist: Mads Valentin Pedersen
86'
🔁Jón Dagur Þórsteinssonout: Soufian gouram
90'
🔁Kevin Sessaout: Pascal Klemens

Match stats — Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC

49%Possession51%
7Shots26
2On target9
6Corners5

Line-ups

Dynamo Dresden 4-2-3-1
  • 1T. SchreiberG
  • 44S. StraudiD
  • 34T. NeiningerD
  • 17A. MuhamedbegovićD
  • 19A. RossipalD
  • 18R. WagnerM
  • 6N. RappM
  • 24P. ČovićM
  • 27N. HauptmannM
  • 20B. BobzienM
  • 9V. VermeijF
Substitutes
  • 40E. BethkeG
  • 33C. DafernerF
  • 16N. FrölingF
  • 11K. InanogluF
  • 10J. LemmerM
  • 42F. MullerD
  • 7K. OkpalaF
  • 21T. RaschlM
  • 32J. SternerD
Coach: Thomas Stamm
Hertha BSC 4-4-2
  • 35M. GersbeckG
  • 2J. EitschbergerD
  • 44L. GechterD
  • 27N. KolbeD
  • 22M. PedersenD
  • 19O. AdewumiM
  • 8K. SessaM
  • 30P. SeguinM
  • 7J. BrekaloM
  • 23J. ÞorsteinssonF
  • 17S. GrønningF
Substitutes
  • 42D. ZeefuikD
  • 47Selim TelibM
  • 18L. SchulerF
  • 9G. NilssonF
  • 41P. KlemensD
  • 33S. GouramM
  • 43T. GollerG
  • 31M. DárdaiD
  • 20Farid Alfa-RuprechtF
Coach: S. Leitl

Form going into Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC

Dynamo Dresden

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to Eintracht Braunschweig12 September 2026
  • L1-2VfL Bochum5 September 2026
  • L3-5away to 1. FC Heidenheim29 August 2026
  • W1-0SV Darmstadt 9816 August 2026
  • L0-3away to 1. FC Nürnberg9 August 2026

Hertha BSC

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1away to VfL Osnabrück13 September 2026
  • W2-11. FC Magdeburg6 September 2026
  • W5-3away to Eintracht Braunschweig28 August 2026
  • W4-11. FC Heidenheim15 August 2026
  • W1-0away to VfL Bochum7 August 2026

What these results say

  • Dynamo Dresden failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Dynamo Dresden scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Dynamo Dresden conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Hertha BSC won every one of these 5 matches.
  • Hertha BSC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Hertha BSC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Dynamo Dresden113261520-511
1Hertha BSC111010259+1631

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC

  • 4 April 2026Dynamo Dresden 0–1 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
  • 1 November 2025Hertha BSC 2–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
  • 30 October 2019Hertha Berlin 5–5 Dynamo DresdenDFB Pokal
  • 2 March 2013Dynamo Dresden 1–0 Hertha Berlin2. Bundesliga
  • 26 September 2012Hertha Berlin 1–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: Dynamo Dresden and Hertha BSC

Dynamo Dresden

No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.

Hertha BSC

GoalsAssists

  • J. Brekalo55
  • O. Adewumi50
  • S. Grønning41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hertha BSC won 2–1 at Dynamo Dresden. The model had leaned towards a win for Dynamo Dresden at 41% and given a win for Hertha BSC 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Patrice Čović 10' for Dynamo Dresden, Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson 29' for Hertha BSC, Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson 80' for Hertha BSC.

How the call on Dynamo Dresden v Hertha BSC has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 42% / 29% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 41% / 28% / 31%: the biggest move is Hertha BSC's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Dynamo Dresden win41%▼ −1
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Hertha BSC win31%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.