Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Before kick-off the model made it 86% Atalanta, 10% draw, 4% Hapoel Tel Aviv — fair odds of 1.16, 10.00 and 25.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atalanta at 86% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Atalanta
No earlier matches on record this season.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- L1-2away to GKS Katowice12 August 2026
- W2-0GKS Katowice6 August 2026
- D2-2away to Ludogorets30 July 2026
- W2-0Ludogorets23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Atalanta | Serie A | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 7 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Serie A · Ligat Ha'al
Leading scorers: Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv
Atalanta
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- D. Owusu2 goals
- E. Boateng1 goals2 assists
- S. Torial1 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.