20 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Dinamo Tirana 1-1 Pafos.

Before kick-off the model made it 18% Dinamo Tirana, 22% draw, 60% Pafos — fair odds of 5.56, 4.55 and 1.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Pafos at 60% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos

Dinamo Tirana

  • W4-0Auda13 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Auda4 August 2026
  • W3-0Aluminij30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Aluminij23 July 2026

Pafos

  • D3-3Red Bull Salzburg13 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Red Bull Salzburg6 August 2026
  • W2-0HNK Hajduk Split30 July 2026
  • L0-2away to HNK Hajduk Split23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.