Gent vs Hibernian UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Gent 0-0 Hibernian.
Before kick-off the model made it 89% Gent, 8% draw, 3% Hibernian — fair odds of 1.12, 12.50 and 33.33.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: Hibernian v Gent, 27 Aug →
Gent went through 3–2 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Gent at 89%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gent vs Hibernian
Line-ups
- 33D. RoefG
- 5M. NgomD
- 44S. Van Der HeydenD
- 16C. BurgessD
- 20T. AraujoD
- 57M. Volckaert
- 17M. DelorgeM
- 27T. De VliegerM
- 8L. BenesM
- 47J. VergaraF
- 11M. SonkoF
- 30K. PeersmanG
- 3M. PaskotsiD
- 10A. OmgbaM
- 14K. WilsonM
- 22L. LopesM
- 28M. El AdfaouiM
- 37A. KadriM
- 39A. AyindeD
- 56M. Diallo
- 1R. SallingerG
- 25F. PasslackM
- 5W. O'HoraD
- 6J. KerrD
- 3A. MayorM
- 8J. MulliganM
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 21J. ObitaD
- 7O. EldingF
- 9N. LoweF
- 32J. CampbellM
- 13J. SmithG
- 35F. OwensG
- 4G. HanleyD
- 10M. BoyleF
- 11J. NewellM
- 15J. IredaleD
- 17J. McGrathM
- 19N. CaddenM
- 22A. SutoF
Form going into Gent vs Hibernian
Gent
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to RAAL La Louvière16 August 2026
- D1-1IFK Goteborg13 August 2026
- W2-0KV Mechelen9 August 2026
- W1-0away to IFK Goteborg6 August 2026
- D0-0LNZ Cherkasy30 July 2026
Hibernian
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Shkendija13 August 2026
- W2-1away to Rangers9 August 2026
- W2-1Shkendija6 August 2026
- L1-2Motherwell2 August 2026
- W4-1Malisheva30 July 2026
What these results say
- Gent went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Gent scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Gent had two goals or fewer.
- Hibernian scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hibernian conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Hibernian had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Gent and Hibernian in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Gent | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Hibernian | Premiership | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Premiership
Leading scorers: Gent and Hibernian
Gent
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.
Hibernian
GoalsAssists
- C. Wright31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gent and Hibernian drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Gent at 89% and given a draw 8%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 13 matches like this one.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.