Austin vs Colorado Rapids Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Austin 1-1 Colorado Rapids.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Austin, 29% draw, 32% Colorado Rapids — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Austin at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Austin vs Colorado Rapids
Line-ups
- 1B. StuverG
- 3M. DeslerD
- 15J. BellD
- 29Guilherme BiroD
- 30J. RosalesM
- 6I. SanchezM
- 14B. SabovicM
- 17J. GallagherM
- 11F. TorresF
- 9B. VazquezF
- 38E. TorresF
- 12D. LasG
- 5O. SvatokD
- 4B. Hines-IkeD
- 23Z. KolmanicD
- 35M. DjordjevicD
- 32M. BurtonM
- 24J. AlastueyM
- 21C. RamirezF
- 77P. PlachetaM
- 41N. HansenG
- 4R. CannonD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 5L. WilliamsD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 8H. OjediranM
- 88Y. MazizM
- 13W. FrederickM
- 32D. PhillipF
- 77D. YapiF
- 10P. AaronsonF
- 61B. DowdG
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 99J. TravisD
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 24N. CobbD
- 12J. AtencioM
- 93G. MinoungouF
- 16A. HarrisF
Form going into Austin vs Colorado Rapids
Austin
All competitions we cover
- D1-1San Jose Earthquakes6 September 2026
- W2-1away to Portland Timbers30 August 2026
- D1-1Philadelphia Union23 August 2026
- W2-1away to Seattle Sounders20 August 2026
- L1-2FC Dallas17 August 2026
Colorado Rapids
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Columbus Crew5 September 2026
- W1-0Real Salt Lake30 August 2026
- L0-3away to San Diego23 August 2026
- W1-0Los Angeles FC20 August 2026
- W2-0Sporting Kansas City16 August 2026
What these results say
- Austin scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Austin conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Austin.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Austin vs Colorado Rapids
- 2 August 2026Colorado Rapids 1–0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- 8 June 2025Colorado Rapids 0–2 AustinMajor League Soccer
- 9 March 2025Austin 0–1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 20 October 2024Austin 3–2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 16 June 2024Colorado Rapids 2–0 AustinMajor League Soccer
The result against the call
Austin and Colorado Rapids drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Austin at 39% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Paxten Aaronson 22' for Colorado Rapids, Facundo Daniel Torres Perez 79' for Austin.
How the call on Austin v Colorado Rapids has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 37% / 29% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 39% / 29% / 32%: the biggest move is Austin's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Austin win39%▲ +2
- Draw29%=
- Colorado Rapids win32%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.