10 September 2026, 02:30 UTC

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer prediction & result

BC Place, Vancouver
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Los Angeles Galaxy.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Vancouver Whitecaps, 26% draw, 24% Los Angeles Galaxy — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Vancouver Whitecaps at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vancouver Whitecaps99%Draw1%Los Angeles Galaxy0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Brian Whiteassist: Thomas Müller
8'
🔁Thomas Müllerout: Cheikh Sabaly
27'
55'
🔁Isaiah Parenteout: Sergi Roberto
55'
🔁Lucas Agustin·Sanabria Magoleout: Erik Thommy
55'
🔁Kyogo Furuhashiout: Marco Reus
⚽Ryan Gauld
57'
69'
🔁Bernardi Julian Ezequiel Audeout: John Nelson
🔁Emmanuel Sabbiout: Bruno Caicedo
72'
🔁Ryan Gauldout: Aleksa Cvetkovic
72'
74'
Justin Haak
74'
Sergi Roberto
87'
🔁Robert Taylorout: Carlos Emiro Garces Torres
🔁Brian Whiteout: Rayan Elloumi
88'
🔁Oliver Love Larrazout: Yadaly Diaby
88'
89'
Carlos Emiro Garces Torres
⚽Bruno Caicedo (pen)
90'
Yadaly Diaby
90+2'

Match stats — Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy

60%Possession40%
18Shots10
9On target5
7Corners5

Line-ups

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
  • 1Y. TakaokaG
  • 18E. OcampoD
  • 2M. LabordaD
  • 33T. BlackmonD
  • 28T. JohnsonD
  • 8O. LarrazM
  • 20A. CubasM
  • 25R. GauldM
  • 13T. MullerM
  • 11E. SabbiM
  • 24B. WhiteF
Substitutes
  • 32I. BoehmerG
  • 29M. GherasimencovD
  • 3S. AdekugbeD
  • 14B. CaicedoF
  • 70R. ModestoM
  • 23A. CvetkovicM
  • 77Y. DiabyF
  • 19R. ElloumiF
  • 7C. SabalyF
Coach: Jesper Sorensen
Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2-3-1
  • 12J. MarcinkowskiG
  • 26H. MillerD
  • 5J. GlesnesD
  • 15J. HaakD
  • 3J. AudeD
  • 16I. ParenteM
  • 17P. RuizM
  • 21R. TaylorM
  • 8L. SanabriaM
  • 11H. LozanoM
  • 7K. FuruhashiF
Substitutes
  • 1N. MicovicG
  • 4M. YoshidaD
  • 14J. NelsonD
  • 25C. GarcesD
  • 20C. RindovD
  • 18M. ReusM
  • 27E. ThommyM
  • 6S. RobertoM
  • 76T. ElgersmaM
Coach: Greg Vanney

Form going into Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3St. Louis City6 September 2026
  • W3-0away to Sporting Kansas City30 August 2026
  • W5-0FC Dallas23 August 2026
  • L0-1Houston Dynamo20 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Seattle Sounders17 August 2026

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1New England Revolution6 September 2026
  • L1-3away to San Diego30 August 2026
  • D2-2away to CF Montreal22 August 2026
  • W1-0San Jose Earthquakes20 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Houston Dynamo16 August 2026

What these results say

  • Vancouver Whitecaps scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps3419787434+4064
11Los Angeles Galaxy341111125057-744

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy

  • 3 May 2026Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
  • 5 July 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 3–0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
  • 2 March 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 22 September 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 4–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
  • 14 April 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles Galaxy

Vancouver Whitecaps

GoalsAssists

  • B. White202

Los Angeles Galaxy

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 50 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Vancouver Whitecaps beat Los Angeles Galaxy 3–0. The model had made a win for Vancouver Whitecaps its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Brian White 8' for Vancouver Whitecaps, Ryan Gauld 57' for Vancouver Whitecaps, Bruno Caicedo (penalty) 90' for Vancouver Whitecaps.

How the call on Vancouver Whitecaps v Los Angeles Galaxy has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 52% / 26% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 50% / 26% / 24%: the biggest move is Vancouver Whitecaps's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Vancouver Whitecaps win50%▼ −2
  2. Draw26%=
  3. Los Angeles Galaxy win24%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.