29 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc Czech Liga prediction & result

Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich, Ostrava
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Baník Ostrava 1-0 Sigma Olomouc.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Baník Ostrava, 27% draw, 26% Sigma Olomouc — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Baník Ostrava at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Baník Ostrava97%Draw3%Sigma Olomouc0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁A. Gningout: V. Skrkon
16'
37'
Abubakar Ghali
Filip Kubala
40'
⚽J. Micekassist: F. Kubala
45'
🔁M. Kohutout: A. Bewene
46'
46'
🔁D. Tkacout: M. Soldo
69'
🔁A. Ekerothout: M. Hadas
69'
🔁M. Beranout: F. Krivak
🔁D. Holzerout: A. Musak
71'
🔁F. Kubalaout: A. Traore
71'
78'
🔁V. Sejkout: H. Mikaelsson
🔁V. Jureckaout: D. Gilbert
85'
90+10'
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson
90+4'
🔁A. Ghaliout: J. Sip

Match stats — Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc

37%Possession63%
6Shots8
3On target2
3Corners6
0.24xG0.63

Goals against chances

Baník Ostrava1 from 0.24 xGmore than the chances were worth
Sigma Olomouc0 from 0.63 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Baník Ostrava 3-5-2
  • 23M. JedlickaG
  • 44Y. Skyba
  • 83R. NoghaD
  • 42J. MicekD
  • 95D. HolzerM
  • 21M. KohutM
  • 5J. BoulaM
  • 28F. KubalaM
  • 99V. SinyavskiyM
  • 12A. GningF
  • 15V. JureckaF
Substitutes
  • 1V. BudinskyG
  • 37M. ChalusD
  • 16M. DyachukD
  • 81M. KmetD
  • 55A. MusakM
  • 7D. GilbertM
  • 18D. PlankaM
  • 8A. TraoreM
  • 22V. SkrkonF
Coach: Roman Skuhravy
Sigma Olomouc 3-4-3
  • 91J. KoutnyG
  • 2A. SyllaD
  • 33M. MalyD
  • 3L. LurvinkD
  • 70A. GhaliM
  • 88P. BarathM
  • 7M. BeranM
  • 29A. EkerothM
  • 39D. JanosekF
  • 10V. SejkF
  • 24D. TkacF
Substitutes
  • 98M. HruskaG
  • 26S. NoumbissieD
  • 22M. HadasD
  • 14M. SoldoM
  • 8J. SpacilM
  • 25M. MikulenkaF
  • 23F. KrivakM
  • 9J. KlimentF
  • 11H. MikaelssonF
Coach: Pavel Hapal

Form going into Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc

Baník Ostrava

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Artis16 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Hradec Králové9 August 2026
  • L0-4Slavia Praha1 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Zlin25 July 2026

Sigma Olomouc

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1Pardubice23 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Slovácko15 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Artis9 August 2026
  • D2-2Mlada Boleslav2 August 2026
  • L1-2away to FK Jablonec26 July 2026

What these results say

  • Baník Ostrava scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Sigma Olomouc scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Sigma Olomouc conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Sigma Olomouc had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Baník Ostrava134271023-1314
5Sigma Olomouc147342220+224

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc

  • 7 February 2026Baník Ostrava 2–0 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 31 August 2025Sigma Olomouc 1–0 Baník OstravaCzech Liga
  • 3 May 2025Baník Ostrava 0–0 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 22 April 2025Baník Ostrava 2–3 Sigma OlomoucCup
  • 9 February 2025Baník Ostrava 1–0 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 1 September 2024Sigma Olomouc 2–2 Baník OstravaCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Baník Ostrava and Sigma Olomouc

Baník Ostrava

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Sigma Olomouc

GoalsAssists

  • V. Sejk63
  • A. Ghali42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Baník Ostrava beat Sigma Olomouc 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Baník Ostrava at 47%. The goal: J. Micek 45' for Baník Ostrava. On expected goals it finished 0.24–0.63.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.