Nyiregyhaza vs Paks NB I prediction & result
Final score: Nyiregyhaza 1-1 Paks.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Nyiregyhaza, 21% draw, 34% Paks — fair odds of 2.22, 4.76 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Nyiregyhaza at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Nyiregyhaza vs Paks
Nyiregyhaza
- L1-2away to MTK Budapest22 August 2026
- W2-1Kisvarda FC15 August 2026
- L0-1away to Debreceni VSC9 August 2026
Paks
- W2-0Ujpest21 August 2026
- L2-3away to Puskas Academy16 August 2026
- D2-2Budapest Honved9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
| 9 | Paks | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nyiregyhaza vs Paks
- 11 April 2026Nyiregyhaza 2–0 PaksNB I
- 20 December 2025Paks 2–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 20 September 2025Nyiregyhaza 1–1 PaksNB I
- 5 April 2025Paks 2–0 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 29 November 2024Nyiregyhaza 4–2 PaksNB I
- 18 August 2024Paks 2–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
Leading scorers: Nyiregyhaza and Paks
Nyiregyhaza
No player in NB I's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Paks
- J. Szalai6 goals1 assists
- M. Pető3 goals
- Z. Haraszti2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.