Nyiregyhaza vs Paks NB I prediction & result
Final score: Nyiregyhaza 1-1 Paks.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Nyiregyhaza, 21% draw, 34% Paks — fair odds of 2.22, 4.76 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Nyiregyhaza at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Nyiregyhaza vs Paks
Line-ups
- 24V. JovanovD
- 22M. Molnar
- 66B. BenczenleitnerD
- 6Y. TomaM
- 12M. KovacsM
- 7N. AntonovM
- 55B. KatonaF
- 23M. RegzaF
- 9M. KvasinaF
- 15A. Temesvari
- 31L. Katona
- 57M. DalaG
- 32B. TothG
- 39R. ZikovicD
- 99A. AlaxaiD
- 74D. Kaczvinszki
- 8Z. Hos
- 21Z. Vukk
- 70M. Katona
- 10B. MannerM
- 1A. KovacsikG
- 6M. Gyorfi
- 24B. LenzserD
- 30J. SzaboD
- 5B. VecseiD
- 4A. LapuD
- 17M. PetoM
- 21K. PappM
- 22J. WindeckerM
- 10Z. HarasztiM
- 7J. SzalaiF
- 28M. GyetvanG
- 15C. BelenyesiD
- 12G. Vas
- 14E. SilyeD
- 8B. BaloghM
- 29B. TothF
- 19K. HorvathM
- 9J. HahnF
- 16B. WiesnerF
Form going into Nyiregyhaza vs Paks
Nyiregyhaza
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to MTK Budapest22 August 2026
- W2-1Kisvarda FC15 August 2026
- L0-1away to Debreceni VSC9 August 2026
- L0-4away to Gyori ETO FC2 August 2026
- W2-1Ujpest24 July 2026
Paks
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Ujpest21 August 2026
- L2-3away to Puskas Academy16 August 2026
- D2-2Budapest Honved9 August 2026
- L2-5away to Zalaegerszegi TE3 August 2026
- D2-2away to Panathinaikos30 July 2026
What these results say
- Nyiregyhaza conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Nyiregyhaza had three goals or more.
- Paks scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Paks failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Paks conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nyiregyhaza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
| 5 | Paks | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nyiregyhaza vs Paks
- 11 April 2026Nyiregyhaza 2–0 PaksNB I
- 20 December 2025Paks 2–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 20 September 2025Nyiregyhaza 1–1 PaksNB I
- 5 April 2025Paks 2–0 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 29 November 2024Nyiregyhaza 4–2 PaksNB I
- 18 August 2024Paks 2–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
Leading scorers: Nyiregyhaza and Paks
Nyiregyhaza
GoalsAssists
- M. Kvasina41
Paks
GoalsAssists
- M. Pető61
- J. Szalai61
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Nyiregyhaza and Paks drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Nyiregyhaza at 45% and given a draw 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Z. Haraszti 50' for Paks, J. Batoum 88' for Nyiregyhaza.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.