Barracas Central vs Aldosivi Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Barracas Central 1-0 Aldosivi.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Barracas Central, 28% draw, 33% Aldosivi — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Barracas Central at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Barracas Central vs Aldosivi
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30Marcelo Agustín MiñoG
- 13Rafael BarriosD
- 14Kevin JappertD
- 15Yonatthan RakD
- 31Nicolás DemartiniD
- 6Rodrigo InsúaD
- 8Tomás PorraM
- 5Dardo MilocM
- 10Iván TapiaM
- 11Norberto BriascoF
- 20Jhonatan CandiaF
- 28Rodrigo BogarínM
- 7Juan Ignacio BarbieriF
- 33Gonzalo MaroniM
- 2Nicolas CapraroD
- 79Maximiliano PuigM
- 1Juan EspínolaG
- 37Gastón CampiD
- 32Fernando TobioD
- 17Elías PereyraD
- 23Ignacio ChiccoG
- 25Néstor BreitenbruchD
- 33Nicolás ZalazarD
- 32Joaquin PomboD
- 14Elías LópezM
- 5Nicolás LinaresM
- 19Lucas CastroM
- 17Federico LaurelliM
- 16Juan Bautista DadínF
- 9Nicolás CorderoF
- 27Tomás FernándezF
- 8Martin GarciaM
- 21Matías GodoyM
- 22Alan SosaF
- 29Andrés VombergarF
- 18Andrés ChávezF
- 42Lucas AcostaG
- 2Leonardo SigaliD
- 28Santiago MoyaD
- 4Rodrigo GonzálezD
Form going into Barracas Central vs Aldosivi
Barracas Central
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to River Plate25 July 2026
Aldosivi
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Defensa Y Justicia24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Barracas Central | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Barracas Central vs Aldosivi
- 28 January 2026Aldosivi 0–0 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 August 2025Barracas Central 3–1 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 6 February 2025Aldosivi 1–3 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 October 2022Aldosivi 2–0 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 5 March 2022Barracas Central 2–1 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
The result against the call
Barracas Central beat Aldosivi 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Barracas Central at 39%. The goal: Tomás Porra 40' for Barracas Central. On expected goals it finished 0.40–0.38.