Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Defensa Y Justicia 2-1 Deportivo Riestra.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Defensa Y Justicia, 24% draw, 31% Deportivo Riestra — fair odds of 2.22, 4.17 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Defensa Y Justicia at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Matías BorgognoG
- 33Lucas SoutoD
- 29Damián FernándezD
- 2Samuel LuceroD
- 40Máximo RodríguezD
- 15Santiago SosaM
- 8César PérezM
- 17Agustín HauschM
- 19David BarbonaM
- 24Juan Manuel GutiérrezM
- 9Leandro FernándezF
- 3Fernando RománD
- 16Ayrton PortilloM
- 27Domingo BlancoM
- 28Valentín LozaD
- 36Lautaro AmadeG
- 13Mateo LópezD
- 23Mateo AguiarM
- 44Jonás CabreraM
- 25Facundo AltamiraF
- 1Ignacio ArceG
- 36Mariano BracamonteD
- 24Facundo MiñoD
- 22Cristian PazD
- 2Carlos QuintanaD
- 15Nicolás SansotreD
- 10Braian SánchezM
- 8Milton CelizM
- 14Pablo MonjeM
- 7Antony AlonsoM
- 11Alexander DíazF
- 16Nicolas WatsonM
- 21Tomás GonzalezF
- 6Ignacio GariglioD
- 29Miguel Agustín GranerosF
- 27Yonatan GoitiaD
- 23Marino ArzamendiaG
- 3Eric TovoD
- 13Rodrigo GalloD
- 20Thiago LauroM
Form going into Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y Justicia
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Aldosivi24 July 2026
Deportivo Riestra
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Boca Juniors26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 28 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra
- 29 January 2026Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 August 2025Defensa Y Justicia 1–0 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 February 2025Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 18 November 2024Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
- 26 February 2024Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Deportivo RiestraCopa de la Liga Profesional
The result against the call
Defensa Y Justicia beat Deportivo Riestra 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Defensa Y Justicia at 45%. The goals: Juan Manuel Gutiérrez 23' for Defensa Y Justicia, David Barbona 37' for Defensa Y Justicia, Tomás Gonzalez 72' for Deportivo Riestra. On expected goals it finished 1.80–1.13.