Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Argentinos Juniors.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Belgrano Cordoba, 25% draw, 20% Argentinos Juniors — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Belgrano Cordoba at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25T. CardozoG
- 14L. MoralesD
- 2A. MaldonadoD
- 17L. LopezD
- 3A. SporleD
- 21A. SanchezM
- 20F. VazquezM
- 26A. J. Benitez CabreraM
- 10L. ZelarayanM
- 24E. RigoniM
- 22N. FernandezF
- 23M. VicentiniG
- 9L. PasseriniF
- 8R. Hernandes
- 37L. GutierrezF
- 30G. ZelarayanF
- 19S. Gatti
- 5S. LongoM
- 13A. OcampoD
- 15R. TulianM
- 25B. CortesG
- 22K. CoronelD
- 16F. AlvarezD
- 6F. VazquezD
- 20S. PrietoD
- 21G. FlorentinM
- 15K. GutierrezM
- 11N. OrozM
- 23H. LopezM
- 27T. MolinaF
- 9G. VeronF
- 50D. RodriguezG
- 26C. BravoD
- 19M. GimenezF
- 32G. InfantinoM
- 29E. ViverosM
- 37T. Gomez
- 47D. PorcelF
- 48F. JainikoskiF
- 36G. BouhierF
Form going into Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors
Belgrano Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Rosario Central23 July 2026
Argentinos Juniors
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto29 July 2026
- W3-2away to Sarmiento Junin23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 23 |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors
- 17 May 2026Argentinos Juniors 1–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 3 February 2026Argentinos Juniors 0–0 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 November 2025Argentinos Juniors 1–0 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 October 2025Belgrano Cordoba 1–2 Argentinos JuniorsCopa Argentina
- 26 April 2025Belgrano Cordoba 1–1 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
The result against the call
Argentinos Juniors won 1–0 at Belgrano Cordoba. The model had leaned towards a win for Belgrano Cordoba at 55% and given a win for Argentinos Juniors 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: F. Alvarez 45' for Argentinos Juniors. Sent off: Franco Vázquez (Belgrano Cordoba) 39'. On expected goals it finished 0.51–1.04.