Blackpool
vs
Leicester
League One postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 34% Blackpool, 27% draw, 39% Leicester — fair odds of 2.94, 3.70 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Blackpool 1.41, Leicester 1.53.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: Low.
Edge to Leicester: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
More League One predictions
Model insights: Blackpool vs Leicester
Has the model earned this number?
Leicester at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Blackpool vs Leicester
Blackpool
League One
- L0-1away to AFC Wimbledon14 November 2026
- D1-1away to Sheffield Wednesday1 November 2026
- L1-4Mansfield Town24 October 2026
- W2-0Milton Keynes Dons20 October 2026
- L0-2away to Leyton Orient17 October 2026
Leicester
League One
- D2-2Stevenage31 October 2026
- W3-0Wigan27 October 2026
- L1-2away to Luton24 October 2026
- W4-0away to Bromley20 October 2026
- W2-1Doncaster17 October 2026
What these results say
- Blackpool failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Blackpool conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Blackpool had two goals or fewer.
- Leicester scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Leicester had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Blackpool | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Blackpool vs Leicester
- 15 March 2014Leicester 3–1 BlackpoolChampionship
- 21 September 2013Blackpool 2–2 LeicesterChampionship
- 23 February 2013Blackpool 0–0 LeicesterChampionship
- 1 September 2012Leicester 1–0 BlackpoolChampionship
- 21 March 2012Blackpool 3–3 LeicesterChampionship
- 29 November 2011Leicester 2–0 BlackpoolChampionship
Leading scorers: Blackpool and Leicester
Blackpool
No player in League One's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Leicester
GoalsAssists
- E. Riis61
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Blackpool a 0% chance of the title and Leicester 0.9%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Leicester the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.41 expected goals for Blackpool against 1.53 for Leicester. Blackpool's attack/defence rating is 0.49/1.91 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.87 for Leicester.
How the model reaches 39% for Leicester to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Leicester to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, Blackpool's ratings add 3 points and Leicester's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 39%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage31%−5
- Blackpool's ratings34%+3
- Leicester's ratings39%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.