Carrarese vs Benevento Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Carrarese 0-1 Benevento.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Carrarese, 29% draw, 33% Benevento — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Carrarese at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Carrarese vs Benevento
Line-ups
- 1S. PizzignaccoG
- 13F. RuggeriD
- 6F. OlianaD
- 33F. RealeD
- 2C. DagbaM
- 28J. MartiniM
- 18Nicolás SchiaviM
- 10T. RubinoM
- 73J. RouhiM
- 91G. MarconiF
- 9F. AbiusoF
- 21N. BonfantiF
- 7N. BelloniM
- 23M. BraunöderM
- 11M. CisséF
- 70N. CudrigF
- 32M. FinottoF
- 12G. GarofaniG
- 5T. MacchioniD
- 77G. ParlantiM
- 26G. VannucchiG
- 77E. PierozziD
- 14S. ScognamilloD
- 23P. SaioD
- 17L. SernicolaD
- 6A. SiatounisM
- 8M. MaitaM
- 28C. KouanM
- 11D. LamestaM
- 29D. OkerekeM
- 9F. SalveminiF
- 21E. SchimmentiM
- 4A. PriscoM
- 32G. MignaniF
- 16Mattia ManniniD
- 22M. EspositoG
- 15C. Dalle MuraD
- 10L. CherubiniF
- 5L. CaldirolaD
- 20P. BeruattoD
Form going into Carrarese vs Benevento
Carrarese
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Catanzaro12 September 2026
- L0-1Empoli5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Ascoli29 August 2026
- L1-2Mantova22 August 2026
Benevento
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Hellas Verona11 September 2026
- L0-1away to Ascoli5 September 2026
- D1-1Sudtirol30 August 2026
- L1-2Modena22 August 2026
What these results say
- Carrarese did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Carrarese conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Carrarese had two goals or fewer.
- Benevento conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Benevento failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Benevento scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Carrarese | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | Benevento | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Carrarese vs Benevento
- 2 June 2024Benevento 2–2 CarrareseSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
- 28 May 2024Carrarese 1–0 BeneventoSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Leading scorers: Carrarese and Benevento
Carrarese
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Benevento
GoalsAssists
- A. Siatounis40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Benevento won 1–0 at Carrarese. The model had leaned towards a win for Carrarese at 38% and given a win for Benevento 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Antonio prisco 66' for Benevento.