Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa First League prediction & result
Final score: Dunav Ruse 2-2 Botev Vratsa.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Dunav Ruse, 30% draw, 34% Botev Vratsa — fair odds of 2.78, 3.33 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Dunav Ruse at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa
Line-ups
- 33G. KitanovG
- 88D. TodorovD
- 5K. AntoniouD
- 4J. CabarcasD
- 2M. DilchovskiD
- 44V. VidakovićM
- 14R. ApostolovM
- 10K. BoychevM
- 11D. MinchevF
- 9Álex ValiñoF
- 23Jordan Layn Saint-LouisM
- 19S. StefanovM
- 39Andre AlvesD
- 36C. AppiahF
- 51I. BudinovD
- 24S. GavrilovM
- 18I. KeïtaF
- 69P. PepelyashevG
- 22S. PredevD
- 77A. SimeonovF
- 94M. OrlinovG
- 3S. SanyangD
- 4I. GoranovF
- 36M. StoevD
- 25A. BuchkovD
- 8A. StoyanovM
- 12I. YurukovM
- 97V. NaydenovF
- 7R. TsonevM
- 10J. GallegosM
- 79M. PetkovF
- 98L. VasilevG
- 24M. SmolenskiM
- 17S. MechevF
- 6A. KichukovM
- 81K. HadjiM
- 90F. GigovF
- 9D. GenovD
- 21M. DimitrovD
- 88L. BoyanovD
Form going into Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa
Dunav Ruse
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to CSKA 194812 September 2026
- L0-1Slavia Sofia7 September 2026
- D2-2Lokomotiv Sofia31 August 2026
- L1-3away to Cherno More Varna21 August 2026
- W2-1away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv16 August 2026
Botev Vratsa
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Levski Sofia13 September 2026
- W3-2away to Septemvri Sofia4 September 2026
- L0-2away to Arda Kardzhali31 August 2026
- W1-0Botev Plovdiv24 August 2026
- L0-5away to CSKA Sofia16 August 2026
What these results say
- Dunav Ruse conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dunav Ruse failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dunav Ruse scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Botev Vratsa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa
- 6 July 2020Botev Vratsa 0–0 Dunav RuseFirst League
- 29 June 2020Dunav Ruse 1–3 Botev VratsaFirst League
- 29 February 2020Dunav Ruse 0–0 Botev VratsaFirst League
- 21 September 2019Botev Vratsa 0–0 Dunav RuseFirst League
Leading scorers: Dunav Ruse and Botev Vratsa
Dunav Ruse
GoalsAssists
- I. Budinov11
- Andre Alves10
Botev Vratsa
No player in First League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dunav Ruse and Botev Vratsa drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Dunav Ruse at 36% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: jordan louis saint 9' for Dunav Ruse, Alexander Valiño Navasal 36' for Dunav Ruse, Sainey Sanyang 45+3' for Botev Vratsa, Kassim Hadji 89' for Botev Vratsa.
How the call on Dunav Ruse v Botev Vratsa has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 44% / 28% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 10 updates, it read 36% / 30% / 34%: the biggest move is Dunav Ruse's chance of winning, down 8 points.
- Dunav Ruse win36%▼ −8
- Draw30%▲ +2
- Botev Vratsa win34%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.