Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Celta de Vigo II 1-1 Sabadell.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Celta de Vigo II, 30% draw, 39% Sabadell — fair odds of 3.23, 3.33 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Sabadell at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell
Line-ups
- 1Coke CarrilloG
- 3K. RibesD
- 4S. M. NdiayeD
- 20A. RodriguezD
- 2P. GavianM
- 16Adrià CapdevilaM
- 5H. BurcioM
- 23G. MillerM
- 15A. KibetF
- 9A. MarinF
- 10O. MarcosF
- 11Ángel ArcosF
- 13Caio BaroneG
- 19A. Davila OutereloF
- 32H. LopezM
- 18Joel LópezD
- 6P. MeixusD
- 21Alexis OlmedoD
- 25M. GonzalezG
- 26Jorge Pérez-Lafuente ReyF
- 1Diego FuoliG
- 14Óscar SanzD
- 6Edgar GonzálezD
- 27José Luis CatalàD
- 7Ton RipollM
- 22Q. LiameedM
- 20UrriM
- 8Pere PonsM
- 4Miki CodinaM
- 12Gastón VallesF
- 23J. PriegoF
- 2PipaD
- 11Javi LópezM
- 10Ángel BaenaM
- 24Eneko AguilarM
- 9N. ObolskiyF
- 13J. OrtegaG
- 19Y. RahmaniF
- 21Alain RibeiroM
- 25Marc VidalG
Form going into Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell
Celta de Vigo II
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Almeria20 September 2026
- L0-4Eibar14 September 2026
- W2-0away to AD Ceuta FC5 September 2026
- L1-2Castellón31 August 2026
- W4-2FC Andorra24 August 2026
Sabadell
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Oviedo20 September 2026
- L0-2away to Mallorca13 September 2026
- W3-2Cordoba7 September 2026
- W1-0Almeria29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Castellón23 August 2026
What these results say
- Celta de Vigo II conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Sabadell | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell
- 21 January 2024Sabadell 2–1 Celta de Vigo IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
- 28 October 2023Celta de Vigo II 4–2 SabadellPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Leading scorers: Celta de Vigo II and Sabadell
Celta de Vigo II
GoalsAssists
- A. Marin81
Sabadell
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Celta de Vigo II and Sabadell drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Sabadell at 39% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Alvaro·Marin Sesma 6' for Celta de Vigo II, Edgar Gonzalez 23' for Sabadell.
How the call on Celta de Vigo II v Sabadell has moved
First published on 12 Sep at 38% / 30% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 9 updates, it read 31% / 30% / 39%: the biggest move is Celta de Vigo II's chance of winning, down 7 points.
- Celta de Vigo II win31%▼ −7
- Draw30%=
- Sabadell win39%▲ +7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.