Tenerife vs Cadiz Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Tenerife 1-1 Cadiz.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Tenerife, 28% draw, 24% Cadiz — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Tenerife at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tenerife vs Cadiz
Line-ups
- 1Dani MartínG
- 19César ÁlvarezD
- 12A. LandázuriD
- 4José LeónD
- 2David RodríguezD
- 14Gerard ValentínM
- 15FabricioM
- 6JuanjoM
- 7M. PečarM
- 18Enric GallegoF
- 8VÃctor MorenoF
- 29Daniel FernándezM
- 17C. GomisF
- 3R. JureškinD
- 40Gabriel LozanoG
- 11Noel LópezF
- 21Marc MateuD
- 5Jorge MorenoD
- 20M. PittónM
- 22G. RanosF
- 1David GilG
- 27J. Diaz PeregrinaD
- 4Javi CastroD
- 6Manu FernándezD
- 3Sergio ArribasD
- 5M. DouéM
- 18Jandro OrellanaM
- 20Borja VazquezM
- 24Ibon SánchezM
- 16Antonio CorderoM
- 21V. KopotunF
- 28D. A. Zarate HidalgoM
- 31N. UkwuijeD
- 23Damián RodríguezM
- 25G. PetitF
- 9Álvaro GarcíaF
- 10Javi OntiverosM
- 17A. MoueffekM
- 19Urko IzetaF
- 13Jokin EzkietaG
Form going into Tenerife vs Cadiz
Tenerife
All competitions we cover
- L0-5away to Castellón19 September 2026
- W2-0Leganes13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Real Sociedad II5 September 2026
- L0-1Sporting Gijon28 August 2026
- W1-0Almeria23 August 2026
Cadiz
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Girona19 September 2026
- L0-1Las Palmas12 September 2026
- L2-3away to Almeria6 September 2026
- D1-1Valladolid30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Eldense22 August 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Tenerife had two goals or fewer.
- Cadiz did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Cadiz conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Cadiz scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Tenerife | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tenerife vs Cadiz
- 1 August 2026Tenerife 2–2 CadizFriendlies Clubs
- 23 March 2025Tenerife 2–1 CadizSegunda División
- 31 August 2024Cadiz 2–2 TenerifeSegunda División
- 27 June 2020Cadiz 0–2 TenerifeSegunda División
- 17 November 2019Tenerife 1–1 CadizSegunda División
Leading scorers: Tenerife and Cadiz
Tenerife
GoalsAssists
- Enric Gallego81
Cadiz
GoalsAssists
- Antonio Cordero52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Tenerife and Cadiz drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Tenerife at 48% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Enric Gallego 25' for Tenerife, Vladyslav Kopotun 74' for Cadiz.
How the call on Tenerife v Cadiz has moved
First published on 12 Sep at 45% / 27% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 13 updates, it read 48% / 28% / 24%: the biggest move is Cadiz's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Tenerife win48%▲ +3
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Cadiz win24%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.