Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua Super League prediction & result
Final score: Chengdu Better City 4-5 Shanghai Shenhua.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% Chengdu Better City, 23% draw, 15% Shanghai Shenhua — fair odds of 1.61, 4.35 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Chengdu Better City at 62% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua
Chengdu Better City
- W3-2away to Hangzhou Greentown15 August 2026
- L0-1away to Yunnan Yukun8 August 2026
Shanghai Shenhua
- L0-3Beijing Guoan18 August 2026
- W4-1Henan Jianye15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | +21 | 52 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Chengdu Better City vs Shanghai Shenhua
- 1 May 2026Shanghai Shenhua 2–3 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
- 21 September 2025Shanghai Shenhua 1–1 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
- 2 May 2025Chengdu Better City 1–0 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 2 November 2024Chengdu Better City 1–2 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 16 June 2024Shanghai Shenhua 1–1 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
- 26 August 2023Shanghai Shenhua 1–1 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
Leading scorers: Chengdu Better City and Shanghai Shenhua
Chengdu Better City
- Felipe17 goals3 assists
- Wellington Silva9 goals6 assists
- Wei Shihao9 goals4 assists
Shanghai Shenhua
- Rafael Ratão15 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.