Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown Super League prediction & result
Final score: Sichuan Jiuniu 1-1 Hangzhou Greentown.
Before kick-off the model made it 88% Sichuan Jiuniu, 7% draw, 5% Hangzhou Greentown — fair odds of 1.14, 14.29 and 20.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 4-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sichuan Jiuniu at 88% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown
Sichuan Jiuniu
- W2-1away to Shenyang Urban15 August 2026
- L0-4away to Beijing Guoan7 August 2026
Hangzhou Greentown
- L2-3Chengdu Better City15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Beijing Guoan1 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown
- 2 May 2026Hangzhou Greentown 2–1 Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
- 3 August 2025Sichuan Jiuniu 2–4 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
- 1 April 2025Hangzhou Greentown 3–0 Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
- 25 June 2024Sichuan Jiuniu 3–2 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
- 3 March 2024Hangzhou Greentown 1–0 Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
- 22 June 2023Sichuan Jiuniu 1–4 Hangzhou GreentownFA Cup
Leading scorers: Sichuan Jiuniu and Hangzhou Greentown
Sichuan Jiuniu
- Wesley Moraes10 goals5 assists
Hangzhou Greentown
- A. Mitriță9 goals11 assists
- Wang Yudong8 goals6 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.