CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse First League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA Sofia 2-1 Dunav Ruse.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% CSKA Sofia, 25% draw, 17% Dunav Ruse — fair odds of 1.72, 4.00 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
CSKA Sofia at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 21Fedor LapoukhovG
- 32Facundo RodríguezD
- 14Teodor IvanovD
- 19Andrey YordanovD
- 6Bruno JordãoM
- 11Mohamed Amine BrahimiM
- 99James Eto'oM
- 30Petko PanayotovM
- 38Léo PereiraM
- 77Alejandro PiedrahitaM
- 10Joël ZwartsF
- 5Jean-Philippe GbaminD
- 8Stefano SensiM
- 28Ioannis PittasF
- 2PastorD
- 34Vasil KaymakanovM
- 25Dimitar EvtimovG
- 17Ángelo MartinoD
- 15Aleks TunchevD
- 7Max EbongM
- 33Teodor KanevG
- 39Andre AlvesD
- 5Kyriakos AntoniouM
- 4Jose CabarcasD
- 88Dimitar TodorovD
- 44Vladan VidakovićM
- 2Mario Ivanov DilchovskiD
- 14Radoslav ApostolovM
- 10Kristiyan BoychevM
- 11Denislav MinchevF
- 9Alexander ValinoF
- 24Stefan GavrilovM
- 18Ibrahim KeitaF
- 51Ilker BudinovD
- 69Plamen PepelyashevG
- 6Stanislav YovkovD
- 22Stojan PredevD
- 19Stefan StefanovM
- 77Aleksandar SimeonovF
Form going into CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
CSKA Sofia
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Qarabag30 July 2026
- W3-2Botev Plovdiv27 July 2026
- D0-0away to Qarabag23 July 2026
- D0-0away to Slavia Sofia20 July 2026
Dunav Ruse
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Ludogorets27 July 2026
- L1-2away to Levski Sofia17 July 2026
What these results say
- CSKA Sofia went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- CSKA Sofia failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- CSKA Sofia failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 9 | +23 | 34 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
- 31 January 2026CSKA Sofia 3–1 Dunav RuseFriendlies Clubs
- 14 December 2019CSKA Sofia 4–0 Dunav RuseFirst League
- 25 August 2019Dunav Ruse 1–1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 24 November 2018Dunav Ruse 0–2 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 5 August 2018CSKA Sofia 3–0 Dunav RuseFirst League
Leading scorers: CSKA Sofia and Dunav Ruse
CSKA Sofia
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Jordão20
- I. Pittas10
Dunav Ruse
GoalsAssists
- I. Budinov11
- Andre Alves10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA Sofia beat Dunav Ruse 2–1. The model had made a win for CSKA Sofia its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: R. Apostolov 10' for Dunav Ruse, J. Zwarts 17' for CSKA Sofia, F. Rodriguez 79' for CSKA Sofia.