Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Levski Sofia 3-0 Septemvri Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 64% Levski Sofia, 20% draw, 16% Septemvri Sofia — fair odds of 1.56, 5.00 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Levski Sofia at 64%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 92Svetoslav VutsovG
- 21AldairD
- 31Nikola SerafimovD
- 4Christian MakounD
- 20Álex CentellesD
- 18Gašper TrdinM
- 10Asen Ivanov MitkovM
- 27David KussoM
- 47Akram BourasM
- 22Mazire SoulaM
- 7ReinaldoF
- 78Martin LukovG
- 1Ognyan VladimirovG
- 2Hevertton SantosD
- 50Kristian DimitrovD
- 77Adrian RaychevM
- 11Armstrong Oko-FlexM
- 17Everton BalaM
- 19El Mehdi MoubarikM
- 35SerginhoM
- 12Vladimir IvanovG
- 13Kubrat OnashchiD
- 4Martin HristovD
- 3Sebas WadeD
- 8Bozhidar PenchevD
- 5Yoan BaurenskiM
- 6Pedro FerreiraM
- 28Stoyan StoichkovM
- 11Aleksandar DzhamovF
- 29Frantzety HerardF
- 27André LiberalF
- 21Nikolay KrastevG
- 26Valentine OzornwaforD
- 20Bozhidar TomovskiD
- 24Nikola GenchevM
- 14Aleksandar VutovM
- 30Viktor DobrevM
- 24Zahari AtanasovM
- 17Nicolas FontaineM
- 16Venislav MihaylovM
Form going into Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Universitatea Craiova29 July 2026
- W2-1away to Lokomotiv Sofia25 July 2026
- W1-0Universitatea Craiova22 July 2026
- W2-1Dunav Ruse17 July 2026
Septemvri Sofia
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv26 July 2026
- D1-1Arda Kardzhali18 July 2026
What these results say
- Levski Sofia went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Levski Sofia scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Levski Sofia won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | +17 | 32 |
| 12 | Septemvri Sofia | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
- 30 November 2025Levski Sofia 7–0 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
- 27 July 2025Septemvri Sofia 1–2 Levski SofiaFirst League
- 21 April 2025Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Levski SofiaFirst League
- 9 November 2024Levski Sofia 2–3 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
- 29 June 2024Levski Sofia 5–0 Septemvri SofiaFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Levski Sofia and Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia
No player in First League's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.
Septemvri Sofia
GoalsAssists
- André Filipe Rio Liberal11
- F. Herard10
- A. Dzhamov10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Levski Sofia beat Septemvri Sofia 3–0. The model had made a win for Levski Sofia its most likely outcome, at 64%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: A. Bouras 34' for Levski Sofia, A. Oko-Flex 76' for Levski Sofia, Serginho 79' for Levski Sofia.