Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa First League prediction & result
Final score: Ludogorets 2-1 Botev Vratsa.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Ludogorets, 26% draw, 17% Botev Vratsa — fair odds of 1.75, 3.85 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Ludogorets at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 39Hendrik BonmannG
- 2Joel AnderssonD
- 15Edvin KurtulusD
- 24Olivier VerdonD
- 42Simeon ShishkovD
- 20Aguibou CamaraM
- 18Ivajlo ChochevM
- 7Alberto SalidoF
- 14Petar StanićM
- 37Bernard TekpeteyM
- 12Rwan CruzF
- 55Idan NachmiasD
- 26Filip KaločM
- 25Emerson RodríguezM
- 23Deroy DuarteM
- 16Nathan FernandesF
- 1Sergio PadtG
- 3Anton NedyalkovD
- 22Mihail PolendakovD
- 17SonD
- 94Marin OrlinovG
- 4Ivan GoranovD
- 36Milen StoevD
- 88Lazar BoyanovD
- 3Sainey SanyangD
- 12Iliya YurukovM
- 8Antoan StoyanovM
- 97Vladislav NaydenovM
- 79Martin PetkovF
- 81Kassim HadjiM
- 9Daniel GenovM
- 6Abdula KichukovM
- 24Martin SmolenskiM
- 99Preslav BorukovF
- 10José GallegosM
- 17Samuil MechevM
- 23Lyuboslav StoyanovG
- 98Lyubomir VasilevG
- 11Martin AchkovD
- 2Miroslav TsonevM
Form going into Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa
Ludogorets
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Hapoel Tel Aviv30 July 2026
- W2-0away to Dunav Ruse27 July 2026
- L0-2away to Hapoel Tel Aviv23 July 2026
- W1-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv18 July 2026
Botev Vratsa
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to CSKA 194825 July 2026
- D1-1Cherno More Varna19 July 2026
What these results say
- Ludogorets scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Ludogorets had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ludogorets | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 11 | +15 | 30 |
| 13 | Botev Vratsa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa
- 30 November 2025Ludogorets 2–0 Botev VratsaFirst League
- 25 July 2025Botev Vratsa 0–1 LudogoretsFirst League
- 23 April 2025Ludogorets 2–0 Botev VratsaCup
- 10 April 2025Botev Vratsa 0–1 LudogoretsCup
- 15 March 2025Ludogorets 3–0 Botev VratsaFirst League
Leading scorers: Ludogorets and Botev Vratsa
Ludogorets
GoalsAssists
- B. Tekpetey20
- Rwan Cruz12
Botev Vratsa
No player in First League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ludogorets beat Botev Vratsa 2–1. The model had made a win for Ludogorets its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: B. Tekpetey 22' for Ludogorets, Rwan Cruz 45+1' for Ludogorets, P. Borukov 72' for Botev Vratsa. Sent off: E. Rodriguez (Ludogorets) 84'.