Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna First League prediction & result
Final score: Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Cherno More Varna.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Botev Plovdiv, 19% draw, 25% Cherno More Varna — fair odds of 1.79, 5.26 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Botev Plovdiv at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 29Daniel NaumovG
- 82Vladimir MendesD
- 87Simeon PetrovD
- 6Ivaylo VidevD
- 27Bryan-Anthony Chibuike HeinD
- 14Carlos Algarra LópezM
- 77Lucas AraujoM
- 66Carlos MeottiM
- 10Asen ChandarovM
- 90Samuel KaluM
- 9Chidera Micheal OkohF
- 19Mauro RodriguesM
- 4Nikola SoldoD
- 30Franklin MascoteF
- 7Nikola IlievM
- 21Nikolay PrandzhevG
- 15Bogdan KostovD
- 22Marvin SengerD
- 16Veliyan VidolovM
- 23Dimitar TonevM
- 81Kristian TomovG
- 50Ertan TombakD
- 3Zhivko AtanasovD
- 5Luciano SquadroneD
- 10Celso SidneyF
- 71Vasil PanayotovM
- 24David TelesM
- 7Miguel BarandasF
- 11Mohamed AchiM
- 13Emanuil NyagolovD
- 20Aleksandar KolevF
- 39Nikolay ZlatevM
- 37Ventsislav KerchevD
- 19Georgi LazarovF
- 18Petar AndreevM
- 70Antoan ManasievG
- 26João BandaroD
- 93Georgi VentsislavovD
- 29Berk BeyhanM
- 14Aleksandar TodorovM
Form going into Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to CSKA Sofia27 July 2026
- D1-1Lokomotiv Sofia20 July 2026
Cherno More Varna
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Spartak Varna26 July 2026
- D1-1away to Botev Vratsa19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 23 |
| 9 | Cherno More Varna | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna
- 16 May 2026Botev Plovdiv 5–0 Cherno More VarnaFirst League
- 9 May 2026Cherno More Varna 2–0 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 29 November 2025Botev Plovdiv 2–1 Cherno More VarnaFirst League
- 27 July 2025Cherno More Varna 2–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 5 April 2025Cherno More Varna 1–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
Leading scorers: Botev Plovdiv and Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
GoalsAssists
- C. Meotti10
Cherno More Varna
No player in First League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Botev Plovdiv beat Cherno More Varna 1–0. The model had made a win for Botev Plovdiv its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: A. Chandarov (penalty) 23' for Botev Plovdiv.