Boulogne vs Dijon Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Boulogne 1-1 Dijon.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Boulogne, 29% draw, 35% Dijon — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Boulogne at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Boulogne vs Dijon
Line-ups
- 99B. NoukeuG
- 21A. PlatretD
- 25A. KerriouD
- 15A. PinotD
- 18D. ThiamD
- 12J. BoyerD
- 8J. MartinM
- 19N. BinetM
- 64T. EpaillyM
- 10A. HbouchF
- 17B. BesicF
- 1X. LenogueG
- 29M. MionD
- 26O. LenneD
- 28S. PaillardM
- 14J. BultelM
- 36M. SoumahM
- 11N. FatarF
- 13L. EtondeF
- 7A. NassiriM
- 16P. DelecroixG
- 7B. HamadaD
- 6W. DioufD
- 23L. LacroixD
- 31M. FatyD
- 14J. MarieM
- 21S. ChouchaneM
- 4M. BarretoM
- 18B. NdeziM
- 29A. NtamackF
- 9T. DongF
- 71E. KetterleG
- 15A. BargainD
- 5Q. BernardD
- 20H. Vargas-RiosM
- 42Y. AkaD
- 17A. LembezatM
- 8P. BellonM
- 30H. MimouneM
- 90E. LagoF
Form going into Boulogne vs Dijon
Boulogne
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Montpellier28 August 2026
- D1-1RED Star FC 9321 August 2026
- L0-1away to Guingamp14 August 2026
- D0-0Nancy8 August 2026
Dijon
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Saint Etienne31 August 2026
- D1-1away to Clermont Foot21 August 2026
- L0-1PAU14 August 2026
- D1-1away to Montpellier8 August 2026
What these results say
- Boulogne did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Boulogne had two goals or fewer.
- Boulogne failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dijon did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Dijon conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dijon scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Boulogne | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 | Dijon | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Boulogne vs Dijon
- 9 May 2025Dijon 0–3 BoulogneLigue 3
- 17 January 2025Boulogne 2–2 DijonLigue 3
- 20 May 2011Dijon 1–1 BoulogneLigue 2
- 21 December 2010Boulogne 0–1 DijonLigue 2
Leading scorers: Boulogne and Dijon
Boulogne
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Dijon
GoalsAssists
- Júlio Tavares51
- Y. Barka40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Boulogne and Dijon drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Boulogne at 36% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: T. Epailly 37' for Boulogne, T. Dong 63' for Dijon.