4 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Boulogne vs Dijon Ligue 2 prediction & result

Boulogne-sur-Mer
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Boulogne 1-1 Dijon.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Boulogne, 29% draw, 35% Dijon — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Boulogne at 36% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Boulogne vs Dijon

Boulogne

  • D0-0away to Montpellier28 August 2026
  • D1-1RED Star FC 9321 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Guingamp14 August 2026

Dijon

  • L2-3Saint Etienne31 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Clermont Foot21 August 2026
  • L0-1PAU14 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Boulogne605123-15
13Dijon613289-16

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Boulogne vs Dijon

  • 9 May 2025Dijon 0–3 BoulogneLigue 3
  • 17 January 2025Boulogne 2–2 DijonLigue 3
  • 20 May 2011Dijon 1–1 BoulogneLigue 2
  • 21 December 2010Boulogne 0–1 DijonLigue 2

Leading scorers: Boulogne and Dijon

Boulogne

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

Dijon

  • Samy Olivier Chouchane3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.