Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA Moscow.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Dinamo Makhachkala, 28% draw, 33% CSKA Moscow — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Makhachkala at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow
Line-ups
- 39T. MagomedovG
- 13S. KagermazovD
- 24A. AlarcónD
- 99M. AlibekovD
- 23M. MakhamadjonovD
- 16H. MrezigueM
- 6M. ApshatsevM
- 47N. GlushkovM
- 52E. SmelovM
- 88D. LesovoyM
- 25G. AgalarovF
- 43I. AkhmedovD
- 21Abdulpasha DzhabrailovM
- 10M. HosseinnezhadM
- 33N. KarabashevG
- 8V. KhubulovM
- 9R. MagomedovM
- 11MiroF
- 28S. SerderovF
- 1D. VolkG
- 49V. ToropG
- 21M. AzziD
- 4João VictorD
- 79M. ZeaD
- 23Dzhamalutdin AbdulkadyrovD
- 3D. KrugovoyD
- 17K. GlebovM
- 10I. OblyakovM
- 31M. KislyakM
- 19I. OleynikovM
- 11T. MusaevF
- 20Matija PopovicM
- 7Matheus AlvesM
- 90M. LukinD
- 18D. KozlovM
- 37HenriqueM
- 32L. GondouF
- 62I. FirovF
- 61P. FilyushinD
- 39M. BoriskoG
Form going into Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Akhmat13 September 2026
- W2-0Rodina Moskva6 September 2026
- L1-3away to Rubin30 August 2026
- L0-1FC Krasnodar23 August 2026
- W4-1away to Krylia Sovetov16 August 2026
CSKA Moscow
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Rubin12 September 2026
- W2-1away to Zenit5 September 2026
- D2-2away to Akron28 August 2026
- W3-2Lokomotiv22 August 2026
- W1-0Fakel15 August 2026
What these results say
- Dinamo Makhachkala scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Makhachkala conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- CSKA Moscow went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- CSKA Moscow scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- CSKA Moscow conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 16 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 16 | +7 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow
- 21 March 2026CSKA Moscow 3–1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
- 26 November 2025CSKA Moscow 2–1 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
- 8 November 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 CSKA MoscowPremier League
- 5 November 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 CSKA MoscowCup
- 29 March 2025CSKA Moscow 2–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
Leading scorers: Dinamo Makhachkala and CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
GoalsAssists
- G. Agalarov50
CSKA Moscow
GoalsAssists
- I. Oblyakov71
- I. Oleynikov34
- K. Glebov31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA Moscow won 3–1 at Dinamo Makhachkala. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Makhachkala at 39% and given a win for CSKA Moscow 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Makhmud Makhamadzhonov (own goal) 13' for CSKA Moscow, Gamid Agalarov 20' for Dinamo Makhachkala, Luciano Gondou 69' for CSKA Moscow, Imran Firov 79' for CSKA Moscow.
How the call on Dinamo Makhachkala v CSKA Moscow has moved
First published on 3 Sep at 41% / 26% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 39% / 28% / 33%: the biggest move is Dinamo Makhachkala's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Dinamo Makhachkala win39%▼ −2
- Draw28%▲ +2
- CSKA Moscow win33%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.