17 September 2026, 15:30 UTC

Akron vs Akhmat Premier League prediction & result

Samara Arena, Samara
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Akron 2-0 Akhmat.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Akron, 28% draw, 33% Akhmat — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Akron at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Akron99%Draw1%Akhmat0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
•Egas Cacintura
⚽Gilson Benchimolassist: Roberto Fernández
5'
Marat Bokoev
17'
37'
•Georgiy Melkadze
37'
Georgiy Melkadze
45+4'
Júlio Romão
45+4'
•Miroslav Bogosavac
45+5'
Ousmane N'Dong
60'
Lechi Sadulaev
63'
🔁Lechi Sadulaevout: Sergey Pryakhin
63'
🔁Júlio Romãoout: Manuel Keliano
69'
🔁Ismael Silvaout: Mohamed Konate
🔁Dudu Rodriguesout: karlen hovhannisyan
70'
🔁Konstantin Maradishviliout: Arseniy Dmitriev
70'
73'
Kalidou Sidibe
76'
Mohamed Konate
🔁Kristijan Bistrovićout: Khetag Khosonov
81'
🔁Slobodan Tedićout: Artem Shumanskiy
81'
Stefan Loncar
85'
86'
🔁Maksim Samorodovout: Kirill Shchetinin
86'
🔁Arsen Adamovout: Erald maksuti
⚽karlen hovhannisyan
87'
karlen hovhannisyan
89'
🔁Gilson Benchimolout: Maksim Boldyrev
90+1'

Match stats — Akron vs Akhmat

62%Possession38%
16Shots7
4On target3
6Corners5

Line-ups

Akron 4-3-3
  • 88V. GudievG
  • 13V. BardybakhinD
  • 26João EscovalD
  • 19M. BokoevD
  • 21R. FernándezD
  • 8K. BistrovićM
  • 15S. LončarM
  • 22K. MaradishviliM
  • 11DuduF
  • 9S. TedićF
  • 7Gilson BenchimolF
Substitutes
  • 91M. BoldyrevM
  • 10Kevin ArevaloM
  • 69A. DmitrievF
  • 6K. HovhannisyanM
  • 80K. KhosonovM
  • 24I. NedelcearuD
  • 71D. PestryakovF
  • 89D. PopenkovM
  • 2Y. RochaD
Coach: S. Blagojević
Akhmat 4-2-3-1
  • 1V. UlyanovG
  • 95A. AdamovD
  • 6K. SidibéD
  • 5K. CakeD
  • 8M. BogosavacD
  • 18Júlio RomãoM
  • 11Ismael Silva LimaM
  • 20M. SamorodovM
  • 17Egas CacinturaM
  • 7L. SadulaevM
  • 77G. MelkadzeF
Substitutes
  • 81M. SidorovD
  • 88G. SheliaG
  • 10K. ShchetininM
  • 19S. PryakhinM
  • 90O. NdongD
  • 71R. MitsaevG
  • 76E. MaksutiF
  • 13M. KonatéF
  • 23G. KenzhebekM
Coach: S. Cherchesov

Form going into Akron vs Akhmat

Akron

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to FC Krasnodar13 September 2026
  • D2-2away to FC Orenburg6 September 2026
  • D2-2CSKA Moscow28 August 2026
  • L0-3Krylia Sovetov23 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Rodina Moskva15 August 2026

Akhmat

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2Dinamo Makhachkala13 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Rubin7 September 2026
  • D3-3Krylia Sovetov29 August 2026
  • W4-1FC Rostov22 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Krasnodar15 August 2026

What these results say

  • Akron did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Akron conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Akron scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Akhmat conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Akhmat scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Akhmat.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Akron142661725-812
12Akhmat143561619-314

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Akron vs Akhmat

  • 15 March 2026Akron 1–1 AkhmatPremier League
  • 27 September 2025Akhmat 3–0 AkronPremier League
  • 11 May 2025Akron 3–2 AkhmatPremier League
  • 31 August 2024Akhmat 0–0 AkronPremier League

Leading scorers: Akron and Akhmat

Akron

GoalsAssists

  • Gilson Benchimol42

Akhmat

GoalsAssists

  • L. Sadulaev33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Akron beat Akhmat 2–0. The model had made a win for Akron its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Gilson Benchimol 5' for Akron, karlen hovhannisyan 87' for Akron. Sent off: Georgiy Melkadze (Akhmat) 37'.

How the call on Akron v Akhmat has moved

First published on 3 Sep at 34% / 28% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 39% / 28% / 33%: the biggest move is Akron's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Akron win39%▲ +5
  2. Draw28%=
  3. Akhmat win33%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.