Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Pafos 4-2 Dinamo Tirana.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Pafos, 28% draw, 41% Dinamo Tirana — fair odds of 3.23, 3.57 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Tirana at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana
Pafos
- D1-1away to Dinamo Tirana20 August 2026
Dinamo Tirana
- D1-1Pafos20 August 2026
- W4-0Auda13 August 2026
- L0-1away to Auda4 August 2026
- W3-0Aluminij30 July 2026
- D1-1away to Aluminij23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana
- 20 August 2026Dinamo Tirana 1–1 PafosUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.