15 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC Segunda División prediction & result

Estadi de la FAF, Encamp
Full time5 – 1

Final score: FC Andorra 5-1 AD Ceuta FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% FC Andorra, 27% draw, 33% AD Ceuta FC — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Andorra at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Andorra99%Draw1%AD Ceuta FC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽J. Canoassist: T. Carrique
33'
H. Solozabal
49'
M. Domenech
52'
⚽T. Carriqueassist: J. Cano
62'
S. Golubovic
67'
67'
🔁Y. Bodigerout: K. Kone
67'
🔁K. Zalazarout: A. Melendez
67'
🔁A. Camachoout: J. Escobar
🔁S. Golubovicout: Quintana Nacho
68'
⚽Quintana Nacho
69'
🔁J. Canoout: A. Calvo
74'
🔁M. Domenechout: S. Molina
74'
78'
🔁C. Teguiaout: A. Osoro
78'
🔁M. Illescasout: K. Mamah
🔁M. Vilaout: A. Lopez
82'
🔁D. Alendeout: L. M. Spatz
82'
⚽Quintana Nachoassist: A. Calvo
84'
87'
⚽J. Escobarassist: K. Kone
90+1'
K. Mamah
⚽A. Calvoassist: E. Akman
90+3'

Match stats — FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC

64%Possession36%
25Shots5
11On target1
2Corners2

Line-ups

FC Andorra 4-3-3
  • 13Pau LópezG
  • 17Thomas CarriqueD
  • 5Marc BombardoD
  • 23Diego AlendeD
  • 20Marti VilaD
  • 8Efe AkmanM
  • 10Marc DomenechM
  • 6Hugo SolozábalM
  • 15Jordi CanoF
  • 27Stefan GolubovicF
  • 29Hugo LópezF
Substitutes
  • 19Nacho QuintanaM
  • 14Sergio MolinaM
  • 7Alex CalvoF
  • 1Kevin RattiG
  • 31Jan LagunasG
  • 3Lautaro SpatzD
  • 2Juan Sebastian SerranoD
  • 18Andoni LópezD
  • 22Aitor UzkudunF
Coach: Carles Manso
AD Ceuta FC 4-3-3
  • 13Guillermo VallejoG
  • 23AnuarD
  • 6Carlos HernándezD
  • 34Daniel Mas SoriaD
  • 3Jose MatosD
  • 8Kuki ZalazarM
  • 14Yann BodigerM
  • 10Marino IllescasM
  • 11Cedric TeguiaF
  • 29Omar SadikF
  • 7Alejandro CamachoF
Substitutes
  • 20Alejandro MeléndezM
  • 9Jordi EscobarF
  • 22Kialy Abdoul KoneF
  • 1Pedro LópezG
  • 18Álex PetxarromanD
  • 36JosemiD
  • 16RedruD
  • 31Adrián RomeroM
  • 24Victor CorralM
Coach: Jose Romero

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18FC Andorra5104810-23
22AD Ceuta FC5005215-130

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC

  • 15 August 2026FC Andorra 5–1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
  • 24 May 2026FC Andorra 0–2 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
  • 4 January 2026AD Ceuta FC 2–1 FC AndorraSegunda División

Leading scorers: FC Andorra and AD Ceuta FC

FC Andorra

  • Hugo López2 goals
  • Nacho Quintana2 goals

AD Ceuta FC

No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.