Rodina Moskva vs Akron Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Rodina Moskva 3-3 Akron.
Before kick-off the model made it 92% Rodina Moskva, 5% draw, 3% Akron — fair odds of 1.09, 20.00 and 33.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 4-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rodina Moskva at 92% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rodina Moskva vs Akron
Line-ups
- 13Sergey VolkovG
- 80Stanislav BessmertniyD
- 19Dmitriy TananeevD
- 26Artem MeshchaninovD
- 3Leo GoglichidzeD
- 17Soltmurad BakaevM
- 8Iker PozoM
- 38Leon MusaevM
- 9Artem MaksimenkoM
- 77Artur GharibyanF
- 10Yordy ReynaF
- 5Andrey EgorychevM
- 72Astemir GordyushenkoM
- 99Ivan TimoshenkoF
- 49Ilya DyatlovD
- 23Kirill UshatovM
- 71Ilya SvinovG
- 1Sergey AydarovG
- 95Kerfala CissokoF
- 55Mitja KrižanD
- 88Vitali GudievG
- 13Vyacheslav BardybakhinD
- 26Joao EscovalD
- 19Marat BokoevD
- 21Roberto FernándezD
- 80Khetag KhosonovM
- 69Arseniy DmitrievM
- 22Konstantin MaradishviliM
- 15Stefan LončarM
- 14Yuriy ZheleznovM
- 7Gilson TavaresF
- 11DuduF
- 8Kristijan BistrovićM
- 10Kevin ArevaloM
- 81Nikita BazilevskiyM
- 2Yomar RochaD
- 98Roman VolochayG
- 32Ignat TerekhovskiyG
- 89Denis PopenkovM
- 24Ionuț NedelcearuD
Form going into Rodina Moskva vs Akron
Rodina Moskva
- W2-1away to Zenit9 August 2026
Akron
- D0-0away to Lokomotiv8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rodina Moskva | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 15 | Akron | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rodina Moskva vs Akron
- 15 August 2026Rodina Moskva 3–3 AkronPremier League
- 2 July 2026Rodina Moskva 0–5 AkronFriendlies Clubs
- 23 January 2025Akron 2–2 Rodina MoskvaFriendlies Clubs
- 23 January 2025Akron 2–2 Rodina MoskvaFriendlies Clubs
- 3 March 2024Akron 0–2 Rodina MoskvaFirst League
- 14 October 2023Rodina Moskva 0–1 AkronFirst League
Leading scorers: Rodina Moskva and Akron
Rodina Moskva
- A. Maksimenko3 goals1 assists
- Iker Pozo2 goals1 assists
Akron
- Gilson Benchimol3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.