7 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland Superliga prediction & result

MCH Arena, Herning
Full time2 – 2

Final score: FC Midtjylland 2-2 FC Nordsjaelland.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% FC Midtjylland, 29% draw, 27% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Midtjylland at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Midtjylland5%Draw92%FC Nordsjaelland3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Denil Castilloout: Sofus Johannesen
45'
53'
•Lamine Sadio
Victor Bak Jensen
54'
59'
🔁Lamine Sadioout: Hjalte Rasmussen
59'
🔁Ibrahim Adelout: Villum Berthelsen
63'
⚽Mark Brinkassist: Alexander Lind
🔁Cho Gue-sungout: Stanley Iheanacho
65'
🔁Victor Bak Jensenout: Beni Junior
65'
🔁Rasmus Kristensenout: Abdou Aziz Ndiaye
65'
⚽Friday Etimassist: Stanley Iheanacho
72'
74'
⚽Hjalte Rasmussen
🔁Kjell-Arik Wätjenout: Mileta Rajovic
76'
⚽Martin Erlicassist: Mileta Rajovic
86'
86'
🔁Mark Brinkout: Malte Heyde
86'
🔁Juho Lähteenmäkiout: Markus Walker

Match stats — FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland

49%Possession51%
18Shots14
6On target4
5Corners3

Line-ups

FC Midtjylland 4-3-1-2
  • 1E. ÓlafssonG
  • 5R. KristensenD
  • 6M. ErlićD
  • 3M. JensenD
  • 55V. Bak JensenD
  • 8P. BillingM
  • 19P. BravoM
  • 29K. WätjenM
  • 21D. CastilloM
  • 10Cho Gue-SungF
  • 90F. EtimF
Substitutes
  • 27S. JohannesenM
  • 20Hong Hyun-SeokM
  • 25N. BakkerG
  • 18S. IheanachoF
  • 15B. Dje Bi DjeD
  • 98D. MartínezF
  • 34N. A. AzizD
  • 9M. RajovićF
  • 17M. UhreF
Coach: M. Tullberg
FC Nordsjaelland 3-4-3
  • 13A. HansenG
  • 2P. AnkersenD
  • 25V. NelssonD
  • 15S. AcquahD
  • 5J. LähteenmäkiM
  • 18Justin JanssenM
  • 6M. BrinkM
  • 23R. NorheimM
  • 37Lamine SadioF
  • 11A. LindF
  • 14Ibrahim AdelF
Substitutes
  • 29V. BerthelsenM
  • 40H. Boe RasmussenM
  • 22C. ErikssonG
  • 4Noah MarkmannD
  • 9O. SolbakkenF
  • 47M. HeydeM
  • 42M. TukaD
  • 10P. AmoakoF
  • 28M. WalkerD
Coach: J. Olsen

Form going into FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland

FC Midtjylland

  • W2-0away to Aarhus2 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Silkeborg30 August 2026
  • W1-0Randers FC23 August 2026

FC Nordsjaelland

  • L0-2away to FC Copenhagen3 September 2026
  • W3-1Brondby30 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Sonderjyske23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC Midtjylland8530168+818
3FC Nordsjaelland8521136+717

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland

  • 7 September 2026FC Midtjylland 2–2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • 10 May 2026FC Nordsjaelland 0–0 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 15 March 2026FC Midtjylland 0–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • 14 December 2025FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 FC MidtjyllandDBU Pokalen
  • 4 December 2025FC Midtjylland 5–1 FC NordsjaellandDBU Pokalen
  • 30 November 2025FC Midtjylland 6–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga

Leading scorers: FC Midtjylland and FC Nordsjaelland

FC Midtjylland

  • F. Etim3 goals2 assists
  • S. Iheanacho3 goals1 assists

FC Nordsjaelland

  • H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.