FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland Superliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Midtjylland 2-2 FC Nordsjaelland.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% FC Midtjylland, 29% draw, 27% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FC Midtjylland at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland
Line-ups
- 1E. ÓlafssonG
- 5R. KristensenD
- 6M. ErlićD
- 3M. JensenD
- 55V. Bak JensenD
- 8P. BillingM
- 19P. BravoM
- 29K. WätjenM
- 21D. CastilloM
- 10Cho Gue-SungF
- 90F. EtimF
- 27S. JohannesenM
- 20Hong Hyun-SeokM
- 25N. BakkerG
- 18S. IheanachoF
- 15B. Dje Bi DjeD
- 98D. MartínezF
- 34N. A. AzizD
- 9M. RajovićF
- 17M. UhreF
- 13A. HansenG
- 2P. AnkersenD
- 25V. NelssonD
- 15S. AcquahD
- 5J. LähteenmäkiM
- 18Justin JanssenM
- 6M. BrinkM
- 23R. NorheimM
- 37Lamine SadioF
- 11A. LindF
- 14Ibrahim AdelF
- 29V. BerthelsenM
- 40H. Boe RasmussenM
- 22C. ErikssonG
- 4Noah MarkmannD
- 9O. SolbakkenF
- 47M. HeydeM
- 42M. TukaD
- 10P. AmoakoF
- 28M. WalkerD
Form going into FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland
FC Midtjylland
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Aarhus2 September 2026
- D1-1away to Silkeborg30 August 2026
- W4-1away to HNK Rijeka27 August 2026
- W1-0Randers FC23 August 2026
- W2-0HNK Rijeka20 August 2026
FC Nordsjaelland
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to FC Copenhagen3 September 2026
- W3-1Brondby30 August 2026
- W3-2away to FC St. Gallen27 August 2026
- W3-0away to Sonderjyske23 August 2026
- W1-0FC St. Gallen20 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Midtjylland went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- FC Midtjylland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Midtjylland won 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland won 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 17 | +12 | 32 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland
- 10 May 2026FC Nordsjaelland 0–0 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 15 March 2026FC Midtjylland 0–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 14 December 2025FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 FC MidtjyllandDBU Pokalen
- 4 December 2025FC Midtjylland 5–1 FC NordsjaellandDBU Pokalen
- 30 November 2025FC Midtjylland 6–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
Leading scorers: FC Midtjylland and FC Nordsjaelland
FC Midtjylland
GoalsAssists
- F. Etim63
FC Nordsjaelland
GoalsAssists
- A. Lind63
- Ibrahim Adel43
- H. Boe Rasmussen42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Midtjylland and FC Nordsjaelland drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Midtjylland at 44% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Mark Brink 63' for FC Nordsjaelland, Friday Etim 72' for FC Midtjylland, Hjalte Rasmussen 74' for FC Nordsjaelland, Martin Erlic 86' for FC Midtjylland.
How the call on FC Midtjylland v FC Nordsjaelland has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 27% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 44% / 29% / 27%: the biggest move is FC Nordsjaelland's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- FC Midtjylland win44%▲ +2
- Draw29%▲ +2
- FC Nordsjaelland win27%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.