7 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg Allsvenskan prediction & result

Strandvallen
Full time1 – 4

Final score: Mjallby AIF 1-4 IFK Goteborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Mjallby AIF, 28% draw, 34% IFK Goteborg — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Mjallby AIF at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mjallby AIF0%Draw1%IFK Goteborg99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
Hjörtur Hermannsson
🔁Tom Petterssonout: Axel·Noren
45'
52'
oliver mansson
59'
⚽Nino Žugeljassist: oliver mansson
🔁Max Nielsenout: Ian Hoffmann
60'
63'
⚽Alexander Simmelhackassist: Sam Larsson
69'
🔁Nino Žugeljout: Max Johannes Whitta Fenger
69'
🔁oliver manssonout: Kevin Ackermann
🔁Abdullah Iqbalout: Ludvig Tidstrand
69'
🔁Ali Youssefout: Olle Lindberg
69'
Jesper Gustavsson
73'
75'
⚽Sam Larssonassist: Tobias Heintz
🔁Jesper Gustavssonout: Viktor Gustafson
76'
Jeppe Kjaer Jensen
77'
79'
⚽Sam Larssonassist: Tobias Heintz
81'
🔁Alexander Simmelhackout: Issaka Seidu
81'
🔁Hjörtur Hermannssonout: Emil Carl Olof Fasth
⚽Olle Lindbergassist: Viktor Gustafson
83'
87'
🔁Sam Larssonout: leo radakovic
Ludvig Tidstrand
90+1'

Match stats — Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg

40%Possession60%
8Shots20
1On target11
4Corners10

Line-ups

Mjallby AIF 5-4-1
  • 1S. HansenG
  • 25M. NielsenD
  • 33T. MiettinenD
  • 5Abdullah IqbalD
  • 24T. PetterssonD
  • 14Villiam GranathD
  • 10J. KjærM
  • 6M. EnggårdM
  • 22J. GustavssonM
  • 9A. YoussefM
  • 18J. BergströmF
Substitutes
  • 13R. WallinderG
  • 3M. AgnarssonD
  • 39R. LeanderssonM
  • 7V. GustafsonM
  • 26I. HoffmannD
  • 29Olle LindbergM
  • 4A. NorénD
  • 2L. SvanbergD
  • 27L. TidstrandM
Coach: Karl Marius Aksum
IFK Goteborg 4-3-3
  • 12V. AnderssonG
  • 18F. ErikssonD
  • 5J. BagerD
  • 6H. HermannssonD
  • 22Noah TolfD
  • 24O. ManssonM
  • 15D. KruseM
  • 14T. HeintzM
  • 11N. ŽugeljF
  • 7Alexander Illum SimmelhackF
  • 8S. LarssonF
Substitutes
  • 28I. SeiduD
  • 21L. RadakovicM
  • 9M. FengerF
  • 26E. FasthM
  • 25E. BishesariG
  • 4K. AckermannM
  • 30T. CoimbraF
  • 20G. ErsoyD
Coach: Joachim Björklund

Form going into Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg

Mjallby AIF

  • L0-2Djurgardens IF3 September 2026
  • L0-4away to Djurgardens IF31 August 2026

IFK Goteborg

  • W1-0Orgryte IS30 August 2026
  • D1-1IF Elfsborg23 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Degerfors IF16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Mjallby AIF215792735-822
9IFK Goteborg218583041-1129

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg

  • 7 September 2026Mjallby AIF 1–4 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 25 May 2026IFK Goteborg 1–1 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 20 October 2025IFK Goteborg 0–2 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 4 May 2025Mjallby AIF 1–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 10 November 2024Mjallby AIF 1–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 21 May 2024IFK Goteborg 1–0 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Mjallby AIF and IFK Goteborg

Mjallby AIF

  • J. Bergström8 goals

IFK Goteborg

  • S. Larsson7 goals2 assists
  • T. Heintz6 goals5 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.