7 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg Allsvenskan prediction & result

Strandvallen
Full time1 – 4

Final score: Mjallby AIF 1-4 IFK Goteborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Mjallby AIF, 28% draw, 34% IFK Goteborg — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Mjallby AIF at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mjallby AIF0%Draw1%IFK Goteborg99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
Hjörtur Hermannsson
🔁Tom Petterssonout: Axel·Noren
45'
52'
oliver mansson
59'
⚽Nino Žugeljassist: oliver mansson
🔁Max Nielsenout: Ian Hoffmann
60'
63'
⚽Alexander Simmelhackassist: Sam Larsson
69'
🔁Nino Žugeljout: Max Johannes Whitta Fenger
69'
🔁oliver manssonout: Kevin Ackermann
🔁Abdullah Iqbalout: Ludvig Tidstrand
69'
🔁Ali Youssefout: Olle Lindberg
69'
Jesper Gustavsson
73'
75'
⚽Sam Larssonassist: Tobias Heintz
🔁Jesper Gustavssonout: Viktor Gustafson
76'
Jeppe Kjaer Jensen
77'
79'
⚽Sam Larssonassist: Tobias Heintz
81'
🔁Alexander Simmelhackout: Issaka Seidu
81'
🔁Hjörtur Hermannssonout: Emil Carl Olof Fasth
⚽Olle Lindbergassist: Viktor Gustafson
83'
87'
🔁Sam Larssonout: leo radakovic
Ludvig Tidstrand
90+1'

Match stats — Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg

40%Possession60%
8Shots20
1On target11
4Corners10

Line-ups

Mjallby AIF 5-4-1
  • 1S. HansenG
  • 25M. NielsenD
  • 33T. MiettinenD
  • 5Abdullah IqbalD
  • 24T. PetterssonD
  • 14Villiam GranathD
  • 10J. KjærM
  • 6M. EnggårdM
  • 22J. GustavssonM
  • 9A. YoussefM
  • 18J. BergströmF
Substitutes
  • 13R. WallinderG
  • 3M. AgnarssonD
  • 39R. LeanderssonM
  • 7V. GustafsonM
  • 26I. HoffmannD
  • 29Olle LindbergM
  • 4A. NorénD
  • 2L. SvanbergD
  • 27L. TidstrandM
Coach: Karl Marius Aksum
IFK Goteborg 4-3-3
  • 12V. AnderssonG
  • 18F. ErikssonD
  • 5J. BagerD
  • 6H. HermannssonD
  • 22Noah TolfD
  • 24O. ManssonM
  • 15D. KruseM
  • 14T. HeintzM
  • 11N. ŽugeljF
  • 7Alexander Illum SimmelhackF
  • 8S. LarssonF
Substitutes
  • 28I. SeiduD
  • 21L. RadakovicM
  • 9M. FengerF
  • 26E. FasthM
  • 25E. BishesariG
  • 4K. AckermannM
  • 30T. CoimbraF
  • 20G. ErsoyD
Coach: Joachim Björklund

Form going into Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg

Mjallby AIF

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2Djurgardens IF3 September 2026
  • L0-4away to Djurgardens IF31 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Red Bull Salzburg27 August 2026
  • L0-1Red Bull Salzburg20 August 2026
  • W4-3Sirius15 August 2026

IFK Goteborg

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Orgryte IS30 August 2026
  • D1-1IF Elfsborg23 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Degerfors IF16 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Gent13 August 2026
  • W3-2Kalmar FF9 August 2026

What these results say

  • Mjallby AIF conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Mjallby AIF failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Mjallby AIF failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • IFK Goteborg scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • IFK Goteborg conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Mjallby AIF28610123043-1328
10IFK Goteborg2810993646-1039

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg

  • 25 May 2026IFK Goteborg 1–1 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 20 October 2025IFK Goteborg 0–2 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 4 May 2025Mjallby AIF 1–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 10 November 2024Mjallby AIF 1–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 21 May 2024IFK Goteborg 1–0 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Mjallby AIF and IFK Goteborg

Mjallby AIF

GoalsAssists

  • J. Bergström100

IFK Goteborg

GoalsAssists

  • S. Larsson83

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

IFK Goteborg won 4–1 at Mjallby AIF. The model had leaned towards a win for Mjallby AIF at 38% and given a win for IFK Goteborg 34%. The goals: Nino Žugelj 59' for IFK Goteborg, Alexander Simmelhack 63' for IFK Goteborg, Sam Larsson 75' for IFK Goteborg, Sam Larsson 79' for IFK Goteborg, Olle Lindberg 83' for Mjallby AIF.

How the call on Mjallby AIF v IFK Goteborg has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 27% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 38% / 28% / 34%: the biggest move is Mjallby AIF's chance of winning, down 7 points.

  1. Mjallby AIF win38%▼ −7
  2. Draw28%▲ +1
  3. IFK Goteborg win34%▲ +6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.