7 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

Cagliari vs Lecce Serie A prediction & result

Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Cagliari 1-0 Lecce.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Cagliari, 28% draw, 26% Lecce — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cagliari at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cagliari97%Draw3%Lecce0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Daniel Maldiniassist: Jacopo Fazzini
29'
37'
Kialonda Gaspar
45'
🔁Oumar Ngomout: Amar Fatah
🔁Jacopo Fazziniout: Mattia Felici
61'
🔁Juan Rodriguezout: Raphael Kofler
66'
🔁Daniel Maldiniout: Alieu Fadera
66'
66'
🔁Kialonda Gasparout: Jamil Siebert
66'
🔁Ivan Ilićout: Youssef Maleh
66'
🔁Joel Almada Monteiroout: Konan N'Dri
🔁Mattia Feliciout: Roberto Gagliardini
74'
🔁Paul Mendyout: A. Sugamele
74'
82'
🔁Santiago Pierottiout: Medon Berisha
Alessandro Deiola
90+5'
90+5'
Jamil Siebert
90+7'
Wladimiro Falcone

Match stats — Cagliari vs Lecce

42%Possession58%
20Shots10
9On target3
7Corners5

Line-ups

Cagliari 4-3-2-1
  • 1E. CaprileG
  • 2Zé PedroD
  • 14A. DeiolaD
  • 15J. RodríguezD
  • 33A. ObertD
  • 8M. AdopoM
  • 4A. RomanoM
  • 6H. WinksM
  • 70D. MaldiniM
  • 10J. FazziniM
  • 31P. MendyF
Substitutes
  • 17M. FeliciF
  • 30A. AkarakiriM
  • 24G. AurelioD
  • 20R. CiervoF
  • 39A. FaderaF
  • 21Roberto GagliardiniM
  • 36N. GranduM
  • 22R. KoflerD
  • 27J. LitetaM
Coach: F. Pisacane
Lecce 4-1-4-1
  • 30W. FalconeG
  • 17Danilo VeigaD
  • 4Kialonda GasparD
  • 44Tiago GabrielD
  • 25A. GalloD
  • 20I. IlićM
  • 50S. PierottiM
  • 79O. NgomM
  • 29L. CoulibalyM
  • 99Joël MonteiroM
  • 9N. ŠtulićF
Substitutes
  • 5J. SiebertD
  • 31E. ScottD
  • 33P. PenevG
  • 16O. GandelmanM
  • 11K. N’DriF
  • 3C. NdabaD
  • 14Y. MalehM
  • 18G. JeanD
  • 28Olaf GorterM
Coach: E. Di Francesco

Form going into Cagliari vs Lecce

Cagliari

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Inter30 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Parma22 August 2026

Lecce

All competitions we cover

  • L0-4AS Roma31 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Venezia23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Cagliari115151015-516
14Lecce113171222-1010

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cagliari vs Lecce

  • 16 February 2026Cagliari 0–2 LecceSerie A
  • 19 September 2025Lecce 1–2 CagliariSerie A
  • 19 January 2025Cagliari 4–1 LecceSerie A
  • 31 August 2024Lecce 1–0 CagliariSerie A
  • 5 May 2024Cagliari 1–1 LecceSerie A

The full Cagliari vs Lecce record →

Leading scorers: Cagliari and Lecce

Cagliari

GoalsAssists

  • D. Maldini50

Lecce

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Cagliari beat Lecce 1–0. The model had made a win for Cagliari its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Daniel Maldini 29' for Cagliari.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.