FC Vitebsk vs FC Isloch Minsk R. Premier League prediction & result
Final score: FC Vitebsk 0-0 FC Isloch Minsk R..
Before kick-off the model made it 35% FC Vitebsk, 29% draw, 36% FC Isloch Minsk R. — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FC Isloch Minsk R. at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Vitebsk vs FC Isloch Minsk R.
Line-ups
- 50N. GoyloG
- 17E. NovykhD
- 15M. KuntsevichD
- 6K. RodionovD
- 22S. EgorovD
- 11A. GurenkoM
- 30Mikhail BashilovM
- 10Y. ProtasovM
- 7R. LisovskiyM
- 77R. MinaevF
- 88E. FrazzoniF
- 66A. RadinF
- 23V. PulkachF
- 1I. NovichkovG
- 67G. MinkevichF
- 4Viktor KarzhitskiyD
- 14Z. ChervyakovF
- 18V. AnikeevF
- 26S. TikhonovskiyM
- 86M. ŽgombaM
- 1A. KlimovichG
- 25A. MakarenkoD
- 3I. TikhomirovD
- 33I. SkrobotovD
- 99E. YudchitsM
- 7A. SvirepaM
- 23M. KovalevichM
- 15N. PatskoM
- 17S. AbramishviliF
- 10V. KhvashchinskiyF
- 19Adeola OlaleyeF
- 70A. ButkoF
- 18M. DayyabuD
- 88Nikita FadeevM
- 11T. MartynovF
- 74M. SachkovskiyM
- 22P. ShevchenkoM
- 8A. ShramchenkoM
- 28A. SvirskiyG
- 13G. StephenD
Belarus Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 27 | +3 | 40 |
| 2 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 54 | 23 | +31 | 61 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Vitebsk vs FC Isloch Minsk R.
- 23 May 2026FC Isloch Minsk R. 3–0 FC VitebskPremier League
- 24 August 2025FC Isloch Minsk R. 3–0 FC VitebskPremier League
- 11 April 2025FC Vitebsk 3–3 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
- 1 December 2024FC Isloch Minsk R. 1–0 FC VitebskPremier League
- 6 July 2024FC Vitebsk 0–1 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
The result against the call
FC Vitebsk and FC Isloch Minsk R. drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Isloch Minsk R. at 36% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Vitebsk a 3.3% chance to finish in the top four: 6.0% after a win, 2.3% after a draw, 1.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 2.3%, 1 points lower than before the match.
For FC Isloch Minsk R. the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 21.3% going in: 31.3% after a win, 17.3% after a draw, 12.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 17.3%, 4 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.