31 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Gais vs IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan prediction & result

Gamla Ullevi
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Gais 4-0 IF Brommapojkarna.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Gais, 28% draw, 29% IF Brommapojkarna — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Gais at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gais99%Draw1%IF Brommapojkarna0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽R. Niklassonassist: D. Collander
22'
29'
Jordan Simpson
⚽R. Thorkelssonassist: A. Wangberg
34'
35'
Wilmer Odefalk
46'
🔁K. Severout: A. Kurochkin
46'
🔁M. Derbaliout: D. Isso
🔁D. Collanderout: C. Gravius
63'
Christos Gravius
65'
⚽S. Salterassist: R. Niklasson
67'
🔁O. Agrenout: R. Frej
72'
🔁O. Petterssonout: M. Andersson
72'
🔁S. Salterout: N. Vasic
72'
73'
🔁O. Zandenout: E. El-Kathemi
73'
🔁O. Okekeout: B. Amole
⚽M. Anderssonassist: R. Frej
77'
🔁J. Fagerjordout: M. Bawa
83'
🔁R. Niklassonout: S. Jorgensen
83'
84'
🔁K. Barslundout: S. Ngouali
84'
🔁W. Odefalkout: A. Wahlund
90+2'
Atle Wahlund

Match stats — Gais vs IF Brommapojkarna

54%Possession46%
18Shots9
9On target3
7Corners4
3.05xG1.19

Goals against chances

Gais4 from 3.05 xGmore than the chances were worth
IF Brommapojkarna0 from 1.19 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Gais 4-3-3
  • 1M. KrasniqiG
  • 6A. WangbergD
  • 4O. AgrenD
  • 24F. BeckmanD
  • 2M. de BrienneD
  • 34D. CollanderM
  • 7J. FagerjordM
  • 17R. ThorkelssonM
  • 32O. PetterssonF
  • 20S. SalterF
  • 11R. NiklassonF
Substitutes
  • 33A. Hermansen
  • 12R. FrejD
  • 22A. CardaklijaD
  • 25J. LindbergM
  • 31C. GraviusM
  • 16M. AnderssonM
  • 27M. BawaM
  • 21N. VasicF
  • 14S. JorgensenF
Coach: Fredrik Holmberg
IF Brommapojkarna 4-2-3-1
  • 1L. CavalliusG
  • 21S. StrandD
  • 23J. Simpson
  • 3A. TroelsenD
  • 6O. ZandenD
  • 27K. BarslundM
  • 24M. DerbaliM
  • 9M. HansenM
  • 20W. OdefalkM
  • 7O. OkekeM
  • 14K. SeverF
Substitutes
  • 25D. BlazevicG
  • 13E. El-KathemiD
  • 4O. CottonD
  • 5S. NgoualiM
  • 11R. OrqvistM
  • 32A. WahlundM
  • 17A. KurochkinM
  • 34D. IssoF
  • 12B. AmoleF
Coach: Ulf Kristiansson

Form going into Gais vs IF Brommapojkarna

Gais

  • L0-2away to Hammarby FF23 August 2026
  • L0-1Malmo FF16 August 2026

IF Brommapojkarna

  • W2-0Degerfors IF23 August 2026
  • W3-1Orgryte IS16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Gais217682520+527
11IF Brommapojkarna217683035-527

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gais vs IF Brommapojkarna

  • 31 August 2026Gais 4–0 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 6 July 2026IF Brommapojkarna 1–1 GaisAllsvenskan
  • 27 October 2025IF Brommapojkarna 0–2 GaisAllsvenskan
  • 24 April 2025Gais 1–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 5 October 2024IF Brommapojkarna 2–0 GaisAllsvenskan
  • 31 March 2024Gais 0–4 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Gais and IF Brommapojkarna

Gais

  • S. Salter6 goals2 assists

IF Brommapojkarna

  • M. Hansen7 goals6 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.