31 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Gais vs IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan prediction & result

Gamla Ullevi
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Gais 4-0 IF Brommapojkarna.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Gais, 28% draw, 29% IF Brommapojkarna — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gais at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gais99%Draw1%IF Brommapojkarna0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽R. Niklassonassist: D. Collander
22'
29'
Jordan Simpson
⚽R. Thorkelssonassist: A. Wangberg
34'
35'
Wilmer Odefalk
46'
🔁K. Severout: A. Kurochkin
46'
🔁M. Derbaliout: D. Isso
🔁D. Collanderout: C. Gravius
63'
Christos Gravius
65'
⚽S. Salterassist: R. Niklasson
67'
🔁O. Agrenout: R. Frej
72'
🔁O. Petterssonout: M. Andersson
72'
🔁S. Salterout: N. Vasic
72'
73'
🔁O. Zandenout: E. El-Kathemi
73'
🔁O. Okekeout: B. Amole
⚽M. Anderssonassist: R. Frej
77'
🔁J. Fagerjordout: M. Bawa
83'
🔁R. Niklassonout: S. Jorgensen
83'
84'
🔁K. Barslundout: S. Ngouali
84'
🔁W. Odefalkout: A. Wahlund
90+2'
Atle Wahlund

Match stats — Gais vs IF Brommapojkarna

54%Possession46%
18Shots9
9On target3
7Corners4
3.05xG1.19

Goals against chances

Gais4 from 3.05 xGmore than the chances were worth
IF Brommapojkarna0 from 1.19 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Gais 4-3-3
  • 1M. KrasniqiG
  • 6A. WangbergD
  • 4O. AgrenD
  • 24F. BeckmanD
  • 2M. de BrienneD
  • 34D. CollanderM
  • 7J. FagerjordM
  • 17R. ThorkelssonM
  • 32O. PetterssonF
  • 20S. SalterF
  • 11R. NiklassonF
Substitutes
  • 33A. Hermansen
  • 12R. FrejD
  • 22A. CardaklijaD
  • 25J. LindbergM
  • 31C. GraviusM
  • 16M. AnderssonM
  • 27M. BawaM
  • 21N. VasicF
  • 14S. JorgensenF
Coach: Fredrik Holmberg
IF Brommapojkarna 4-2-3-1
  • 1L. CavalliusG
  • 21S. StrandD
  • 23J. Simpson
  • 3A. TroelsenD
  • 6O. ZandenD
  • 27K. BarslundM
  • 24M. DerbaliM
  • 9M. HansenM
  • 20W. OdefalkM
  • 7O. OkekeM
  • 14K. SeverF
Substitutes
  • 25D. BlazevicG
  • 13E. El-KathemiD
  • 4O. CottonD
  • 5S. NgoualiM
  • 11R. OrqvistM
  • 32A. WahlundM
  • 17A. KurochkinM
  • 34D. IssoF
  • 12B. AmoleF
Coach: Ulf Kristiansson

Form going into Gais vs IF Brommapojkarna

Gais

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Hammarby FF23 August 2026
  • L0-1Malmo FF16 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Halmstad9 August 2026
  • L0-6away to FC Nordsjaelland30 July 2026
  • D1-1Halmstad26 July 2026

IF Brommapojkarna

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Degerfors IF23 August 2026
  • W3-1Orgryte IS16 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Sirius10 August 2026
  • L1-2Malmo FF2 August 2026
  • D1-1Hammarby FF26 July 2026

What these results say

  • Gais failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Gais conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Gais had two goals or fewer.
  • IF Brommapojkarna scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • IF Brommapojkarna conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for IF Brommapojkarna.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Gais28117103628+840
11IF Brommapojkarna2898113944-535

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gais vs IF Brommapojkarna

  • 6 July 2026IF Brommapojkarna 1–1 GaisAllsvenskan
  • 27 October 2025IF Brommapojkarna 0–2 GaisAllsvenskan
  • 24 April 2025Gais 1–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 5 October 2024IF Brommapojkarna 2–0 GaisAllsvenskan
  • 31 March 2024Gais 0–4 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Gais and IF Brommapojkarna

Gais

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 36 league goals as a side.

IF Brommapojkarna

GoalsAssists

  • M. Hansen87

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Gais beat IF Brommapojkarna 4–0. The model had made a win for Gais its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: R. Niklasson 22' for Gais, R. Thorkelsson 34' for Gais, S. Salter 67' for Gais, M. Andersson 77' for Gais. On expected goals it finished 3.05–1.19.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.