Independiente Rivadavia vs Racing Club Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Independiente Rivadavia 3-1 Racing Club.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Independiente Rivadavia, 28% draw, 29% Racing Club — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Independiente Rivadavia at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Independiente Rivadavia vs Racing Club
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30N. BolcatoG
- 2L. CostaD
- 40I. VillalbaD
- 42S. StuderD
- 8L. BuccaD
- 11G. RiosM
- 5T. BottariM
- 25J. I. Florentin BobadillaM
- 10M. FernandezM
- 9A. ArceF
- 17M. SalasF
- 21E. F. Gomez RigaG
- 28A. VigoD
- 13A. OsellaD
- 3J. M. ElordiD
- 34S. MoreyraM
- 77L. SequeiraM
- 20A. RiepM
- 32K. A. VazquezM
- 7V. RamisF
- 25F. CambesesG
- 4E. CannavoD
- 38M. MartinezD
- 43G. EscuderoD
- 18PachaD
- 16U. OrtegozaM
- 33L. PerezM
- 11M. ZarachoM
- 10M. MiljevicM
- 9Adrian MartinezF
- 17T. ConechnyF
- 30M. TagliamonteG
- 14J. BarinagaD
- 2M. PerezD
- 34T. RubioD
- 5M. KranevitterM
- 20G. A. LodicoM
- 24A. FernandezM
- 37S. AguirreM
- 40F. FragaF
Form going into Independiente Rivadavia vs Racing Club
Independiente Rivadavia
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Independiente22 August 2026
- L0-2away to Belgrano Cordoba15 August 2026
- W2-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto8 August 2026
- L1-2away to Sarmiento Junin3 August 2026
- W2-1Huracan30 July 2026
Racing Club
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Boca Juniors24 August 2026
- L0-1Banfield14 August 2026
- L1-2away to Argentinos Juniors9 August 2026
- L1-3Tigre1 August 2026
- D0-0away to Rosario Central29 July 2026
What these results say
- Independiente Rivadavia conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Racing Club did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Racing Club conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Independiente Rivadavia vs Racing Club
- 26 February 2026Racing Club 1–1 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 7 October 2025Racing Club 0–0 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 28 March 2025Independiente Rivadavia 2–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 November 2024Racing Club 2–1 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Independiente Rivadavia and Racing Club
Independiente Rivadavia
GoalsAssists
- J. Florentín91
- A. Arce91
- F. Sartori80
Racing Club
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Independiente Rivadavia beat Racing Club 3–1. The model had made a win for Independiente Rivadavia its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Miljevic 20' for Racing Club, G. Rios 39' for Independiente Rivadavia, F. Sartori 70' for Independiente Rivadavia, A. Arce 90' for Independiente Rivadavia. On expected goals it finished 3.00–0.77.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.