30 August 2026, 14:30 UTC

IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS Allsvenskan prediction & result

Gamla Ullevi
Full time1 – 0

Final score: IFK Goteborg 1-0 Orgryte IS.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% IFK Goteborg, 26% draw, 29% Orgryte IS — fair odds of 2.22, 3.85 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

IFK Goteborg at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

IFK Goteborg96%Draw4%Orgryte IS0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁A. Erlingmarkout: J. Bager
24'
Felix Eriksson
37'
⚽H. Hermannssonassist: T. Heintz
61'
73'
🔁D. Paulsonout: M. Parker
73'
🔁W. Hofvanderout: J. Tibbling
81'
🔁J. Hammarout: A. Andreasson
🔁S. Clemmensenout: M. Fenger
83'
Adam Bergmark Wiberg
87'

Match stats — IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS

52%Possession48%
20Shots13
5On target5
11Corners5
2.01xG0.98

Goals against chances

IFK Goteborg1 from 2.01 xGless than the chances were worth
Orgryte IS0 from 0.98 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

IFK Goteborg 4-4-2
  • 12V. AnderssonG
  • 18F. ErikssonD
  • 3A. ErlingmarkD
  • 6H. HermannssonD
  • 22N. TolfD
  • 29A. Bergmark-WibergM
  • 24O. ManssonM
  • 15D. KruseM
  • 14T. HeintzM
  • 7S. ClemmensenF
  • 8S. LarssonF
Substitutes
  • 25E. BishesariG
  • 5J. BagerD
  • 28I. SeiduD
  • 21L. RadakovicM
  • 16F. OttossonM
  • 26E. FasthM
  • 9M. FengerF
  • 27A. BorenF
  • 30T. CoimbraF
Coach: Joachim Bjorklund
Orgryte IS 3-4-3
  • 44H. GustafssonG
  • 25J. HammarD
  • 6M. DyrestamD
  • 5C. StyffeD
  • 18A. AnderssonM
  • 23O. Parker-PriceM
  • 8B. LaturnusM
  • 14D. PaulsonM
  • 17W. HofvanderF
  • 11N. ChristofferssonF
  • 22T. SanaF
Substitutes
  • 34A. RahmG
  • 3J. AzulayD
  • 33S. LagerlundD
  • 2M. ParkerD
  • 21W. KenndalM
  • 19A. AndreassonD
  • 7C. VindehallM
  • 15J. TibblingF
  • 29M. EbietomereD
Coach: Andreas Holmberg

Form going into IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS

IFK Goteborg

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1IF Elfsborg23 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Degerfors IF16 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Gent13 August 2026
  • W3-2Kalmar FF9 August 2026
  • L0-1Gent6 August 2026

Orgryte IS

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Halmstad22 August 2026
  • L1-3away to IF Brommapojkarna16 August 2026
  • L3-4AIK Stockholm8 August 2026
  • W3-0away to AIK Stockholm2 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Vasteras SK FK24 July 2026

What these results say

  • IFK Goteborg conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • IFK Goteborg failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Orgryte IS failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Orgryte IS scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Orgryte IS conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10IFK Goteborg2810993646-1039
15Orgryte IS2848163360-2720

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS

  • 19 May 2026Orgryte IS 2–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: IFK Goteborg and Orgryte IS

IFK Goteborg

GoalsAssists

  • S. Larsson83

Orgryte IS

GoalsAssists

  • N. Christoffersson81

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

IFK Goteborg beat Orgryte IS 1–0. The model had made a win for IFK Goteborg its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: H. Hermannsson 61' for IFK Goteborg. On expected goals it finished 2.01–0.98.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.