20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Monaco.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Gornik Zabrze, 26% draw, 42% Monaco — fair odds of 3.13, 3.85 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Monaco at 42% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco

Gornik Zabrze

  • W2-1Wisla Krakow16 August 2026
  • D1-1Ferencvarosi TC13 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Radomiak Radom8 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Ferencvarosi TC5 August 2026
  • D1-1Fenerbahçe29 July 2026

Monaco

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Gornik Zabrze and Monaco in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
1Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa8701168+821
2MonacoLigue 1431062+410

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ekstraklasa · Ligue 1

Leading scorers: Gornik Zabrze and Monaco

Gornik Zabrze

  • Peter4 goals

Monaco

  • Paris Josua Brunner3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.