20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Monaco.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Gornik Zabrze, 26% draw, 42% Monaco — fair odds of 3.13, 3.85 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: Monaco v Gornik Zabrze, 27 Aug →

Monaco went through 7–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Monaco at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gornik Zabrze0%Draw4%Monaco96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
⚽M. Bierethassist: M. Detourbet
38'
Mathys Detourbet
51'
⚽L. Camara
⚽E. Prekopassist: E. Janza
53'
55'
🔁Vandersonout: J. Teze
55'
🔁M. Detourbetout: A. Soubeir
58'
⚽P. Brunnerassist: S. Idumbo
61'
Anis Soubeir
🔁L. Sadilekout: K. Urbanski
66'
🔁E. Prekopout: S. Liseth
66'
Maximilian Dietz
70'
🔁Peter Federicoout: B. Durdov
74'
⚽S. Lisethassist: P. Bernardo
74'
80'
🔁C. Mawissaout: Nazinho
🔁P. Bernardoout: J. Antiste
81'
81'
🔁M. Bierethout: O. Konate
89'
🔁D. Zakariaout: S. Benzahra
Erik Janža
90+4'

Match stats — Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco

51%Possession49%
17Shots14
6On target6
7Corners4

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze 4-3-3
  • 1P. SchulzeG
  • 61M. SacekD
  • 26R. JanickiD
  • 20JosemaD
  • 64E. JanzaD
  • 18L. SadilekM
  • 66M. DietzM
  • 8P. BernardoM
  • 33M. KhlanF
  • 11E. PrekopF
  • 19Peter FedericoF
Substitutes
  • 99T. LoskaG
  • 29W. KaniaG
  • 4P. BochniewiczD
  • 21O. ZmrzlyD
  • 2P. Warczak
  • 14J. KubickiM
  • 82K. UrbanskiM
  • 23S. LisethF
  • 9J. AntisteF
Coach: Michal Gasparik
Monaco 4-4-2
  • 1L. HradeckyG
  • 2VandersonD
  • 72S. SaneD
  • 3E. DierD
  • 13C. MawissaD
  • 7M. DetourbetM
  • 15L. CamaraM
  • 6D. ZakariaM
  • 17S. IdumboM
  • 29P. BrunnerF
  • 14M. BierethF
Substitutes
  • 16P. KohnG
  • 50Y. LienardG
  • 4J. TezeD
  • 5T. KehrerD
  • 20NazinhoD
  • 19P. CabralM
  • 44S. NibombeM
  • 46A. SoubeirM
  • 49I. ToureM
Coach: Luis Filipe

Form going into Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Wisla Krakow16 August 2026
  • D1-1Ferencvarosi TC13 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Radomiak Radom8 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Ferencvarosi TC5 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Korona Kielce1 August 2026

Monaco

No earlier matches on record this season.

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Gornik Zabrze and Monaco in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
2Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa149412312+1131
4MonacoUEFA Europa Conference League330071+69

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ekstraklasa · UEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Gornik Zabrze and Monaco

Gornik Zabrze

GoalsAssists

  • K. Urbański51

Monaco

GoalsAssists

  • Paris Josua Brunner41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Monaco won 3–2 at Gornik Zabrze. The model had made a win for Monaco its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Biereth 9' for Monaco, L. Camara 51' for Monaco, E. Prekop 53' for Gornik Zabrze, P. Brunner 58' for Monaco, S. Liseth 74' for Gornik Zabrze.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.