Regular Season - 15 · 28 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Grasshoppers vs FC Basel 1893 Super League prediction

Letzigrund Stadion

Our model says: Grasshoppers 1–2 FC Basel 1893

The model makes it 34% Grasshoppers, 27% draw, 39% FC Basel 1893 — fair odds of 2.94, 3.70 and 2.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Grasshoppers 1.35, FC Basel 1893 1.49.

Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.

Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,327 settled matches.

Edge to FC Basel 1893: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published 14 November 2026 · updated 15 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Grasshoppers's rating is built from 53 Swiss Super League matches and FC Basel 1893's from 51, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 538 matches.

Key facts

Grasshoppers are 10th on 11 points from 13 games; FC Basel 1893 are 7th on 15 points from 13 games — Super League.
Grasshoppers have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Lausanne.
FC Basel 1893 have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 3-3 draw away to FC Thun.
Last 6 meetings: FC Basel 1893 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 25 October 2026, ended FC Basel 1893 0–0 Grasshoppers.

More Swiss Super League predictions

All Swiss Super League predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Grasshoppers vs FC Basel 1893

58%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Grasshoppers win Draw FC Basel 1893 win

1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
0–06%

Scores read Grasshoppers first; the other scorelines share the remaining 43%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

FC Basel 1893 at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Grasshoppers vs FC Basel 1893

Grasshoppers

Super League

D1-1Lausanne7 November 2026
D2-2FC Vaduz31 October 2026
D0-0away to FC Basel 189325 October 2026
L0-2BSC Young Boys11 October 2026
L1-5away to FC Luzern19 September 2026

FC Basel 1893

Super League

D3-3away to FC Thun8 November 2026
L1-2away to FC Lugano1 November 2026
D0-0Grasshoppers25 October 2026
L0-3away to FC Vaduz11 October 2026
L1-3FC St. Gallen20 September 2026

What these results say

Grasshoppers did not win any of these 5 matches.
Grasshoppers conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
FC Basel 1893 did not win any of these 5 matches.
FC Basel 1893 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
4 of these 5 matches for FC Basel 1893 had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Grasshoppers	13	2	5	6	16	29	-13	11
7	FC Basel 1893	13	4	3	6	21	25	-4	15

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Grasshoppers

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 84% today

Win 74%

Draw 88%

Defeat 93%

FC Basel 1893

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 17% today

Win 8%

Draw 16%

Defeat 25%

From our Super League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Grasshoppers vs FC Basel 1893

25 October 2026FC Basel 1893 0–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
5 March 2026FC Basel 1893 1–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
23 November 2025Grasshoppers 1–1 FC Basel 1893Super League
2 August 2025FC Basel 1893 2–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
3 April 2025FC Basel 1893 2–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
14 December 2024FC Basel 1893 0–1 GrasshoppersSuper League

Leading scorers: Grasshoppers and FC Basel 1893

Grasshoppers

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

FC Basel 1893

GoalsAssists

Ž. Celar82

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Grasshoppers FC Basel 1893

0.49 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.59

1.66 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.47

1.35 Model expected goals (this match) 1.49

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC Basel 1893 the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Grasshoppers against 1.49 for FC Basel 1893. Grasshoppers's attack/defence rating is 0.49/1.66 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.59/1.47 for FC Basel 1893.

How the model reaches 39% for FC Basel 1893 to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for FC Basel 1893 to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Grasshoppers's ratings add 4 points and FC Basel 1893's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 39%.

Two average sides, neutral ground37%
Home advantage32%−5
Both sides at this match's level31%−1
Grasshoppers's ratings35%+4
FC Basel 1893's ratings39%+4

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

GrasshoppersModelFC Basel 1893

Over 1.5 goals

80%

8 of 10 games

78%

model, this match

90%

9 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

50%

5 of 10 games

54%

model, this match

90%

9 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

50%

5 of 10 games

32%

model, this match

50%

5 of 10 games

Both teams score

60%

6 of 10 games

58%

model, this match

80%

8 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

GrasshoppersFC Basel 1893

13Matches13

2W 5D 6LRecord4W 3D 6L

16 1.2 per gameGoals scored21 1.6 per game

29 2.2 per gameGoals conceded25 1.9 per game

3 of 13Clean sheets2 of 13

2 of 13Failed to score3 of 13

1 of 2Penalties scored4 of 4

29 2.2 per gameYellow cards28 2.2 per game

1Red cards1

4-3-3 8×Usual shape4-2-3-1 7×

Grasshoppers at home · FC Basel 1893 away

7Played7

1W 3D 3LRecord3W 2D 2L

10–16Goals for – against14–14

1 of 7Clean sheets1 of 7

League matches only, Super League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

GrasshoppersFC Basel 1893

Grasshoppers are 10th after 13 Super League matches (between 1st and 12th so far); FC Basel 1893 are 7th after 13 (between 1st and 7th). How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Super League matches this season: Grasshoppers 13, FC Basel 1893 13.

Grasshoppers scored 144214

FC Basel 1893 conceded 633147

FC Basel 1893 scored 407443

Grasshoppers conceded 512768

FC Basel 1893 score most often in the 31–45 minute window (7 goals); Grasshoppers have let in 2 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

Grasshoppers

at FC St. Gallen6 Dec · Super Leaguewin 16%
at FC Zurich12 Dec · Super Leaguewin 23%
vs FC Luzern19 Dec · Super Leaguewin 31%
at FC Sion17 Jan · Super Leaguewin 13%

FC Basel 1893

vs Servette FC6 Dec · Super Leaguewin 34%
at FC Sion13 Dec · Super Leaguewin 18%
vs FC Zurich19 Dec · Super Leaguewin 42%
vs FC Vaduz16 Jan · Super Leaguewin 42%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.