Regular Season - 15 · 28 November 2026, 19:30 UTC

Servette FC vs Lausanne Super League prediction

Geneva

Our model says: Servette FC 1–0 Lausanne

The model makes it 55% Servette FC, 26% draw, 19% Lausanne — fair odds of 1.82, 3.85 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (13%).

Expected goals: Servette FC 1.76, Lausanne 0.81.

Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.

Edge to Servette FC: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published 14 November 2026 · updated 15 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Servette FC's rating is built from 51 Swiss Super League matches and Lausanne's from 51, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 538 matches.

Key facts

Servette FC are 6th on 17 points from 13 games; Lausanne are bottom on 7 points from 13 games — Super League.
Servette FC have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to FC Zurich.
Lausanne have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Grasshoppers.
Last 6 meetings: Servette FC 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 13 September 2026, ended Lausanne 0–1 Servette FC.

More Swiss Super League predictions

All Swiss Super League predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Servette FC vs Lausanne

47%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Servette FC win Draw Lausanne win

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
0–16%

Scores read Servette FC first; the other scorelines share the remaining 34%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Servette FC at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Servette FC vs Lausanne

Servette FC

Super League

D0-0FC Zurich8 November 2026
L1-2away to FC St. Gallen31 October 2026
W2-1FC Vaduz24 October 2026
W3-0FC Sion10 October 2026
L2-3away to BSC Young Boys19 September 2026

Lausanne

Super League

D1-1away to Grasshoppers7 November 2026
L4-5FC Thun1 November 2026
L0-1away to FC Sion25 October 2026
L0-1away to FC St. Gallen11 October 2026
L0-4FC Lugano20 September 2026

What these results say

Servette FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
4 of these 5 matches for Servette FC had three goals or more.
Lausanne did not win any of these 5 matches.
Lausanne conceded in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Servette FC	13	5	2	6	17	16	+1	17
12	Lausanne	13	1	4	8	12	23	-11	7

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Servette FC

Chance to finish in the top six · 63% today

Win 70%

Draw 56%

Defeat 49%

Lausanne

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 95% today

Win 90%

Draw 95%

Defeat 97%

From our Super League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Servette FC vs Lausanne

13 September 2026Lausanne 0–1 Servette FCSuper League
12 May 2026Servette FC 2–0 LausanneSuper League
15 February 2026Lausanne 3–3 Servette FCSuper League
14 January 2026Servette FC 0–1 LausanneSuper League
29 October 2025Lausanne 1–3 Servette FCSuper League
24 May 2025Servette FC 3–3 LausanneSuper League

Leading scorers: Servette FC and Lausanne

Servette FC

GoalsAssists

K. Mutandwa50

Lausanne

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Servette FC Lausanne

0.62 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.46

1.16 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.52

1.76 Model expected goals (this match) 0.81

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Servette FC the highest probability at 55%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.76 expected goals for Servette FC against 0.81 for Lausanne. Servette FC's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/1.52 for Lausanne.

How the model reaches 55% for Servette FC to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 38% for Servette FC to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 3 points, Servette FC's ratings add 8 points and Lausanne's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 55%.

Two average sides, neutral ground38%
Home advantage43%+5
Both sides at this match's level40%−3
Servette FC's ratings48%+8
Lausanne's ratings55%+7

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

Servette FCModelLausanne

Over 1.5 goals

70%

7 of 10 games

73%

model, this match

50%

5 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

50%

5 of 10 games

47%

model, this match

40%

4 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

20%

2 of 10 games

26%

model, this match

40%

4 of 10 games

Both teams score

50%

5 of 10 games

47%

model, this match

40%

4 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

Servette FCLausanne

13Matches13

5W 2D 6LRecord1W 4D 8L

17 1.3 per gameGoals scored12 0.9 per game

16 1.2 per gameGoals conceded23 1.8 per game

3 of 13Clean sheets2 of 13

4 of 13Failed to score6 of 13

2 of 3Penalties scored1 of 1

33 2.5 per gameYellow cards36 2.8 per game

0Red cards1

4-2-3-1 7×Usual shape4-2-3-1 5×

Servette FC at home · Lausanne away

7Played7

3W 2D 2LRecord1W 2D 4L

8–6Goals for – against3–7

2 of 7Clean sheets2 of 7

League matches only, Super League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

Servette FCLausanne

Servette FC are 6th after 13 Super League matches (between 4th and 12th so far); Lausanne are 12th after 13 (between 1st and 12th). How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Super League matches this season: Servette FC 13, Lausanne 13.

Servette FC scored 540134

Lausanne conceded 232833

Servette FC score most often in the 0–15 minute window (5 goals); Lausanne have let in 2 there.

Lausanne scored 013225

Servette FC conceded 304225

Lausanne score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Servette FC have let in 5 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

Servette FC

at FC Basel 18936 Dec · Super Leaguewin 38%
at FC Luzern13 Dec · Super Leaguewin 36%
vs BSC Young Boys20 Dec · Super Leaguewin 37%
vs FC Thun16 Jan · Super Leaguewin 50%

Lausanne

vs FC Sion6 Dec · Super Leaguewin 21%
at BSC Young Boys12 Dec · Super Leaguewin 13%
vs FC St. Gallen19 Dec · Super Leaguewin 25%
at FC Zurich17 Jan · Super Leaguewin 23%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.