Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Guadalajara Chivas 0-2 Club Queretaro.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Guadalajara Chivas, 28% draw, 23% Club Queretaro — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Guadalajara Chivas at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro
Line-ups
- 13Óscar WhalleyG
- 23D. AguirreD
- 3D. CampilloD
- 7L. RomoD
- 30Santiago SandovalM
- 6O. GoveaM
- 28R. GonzálezM
- 14H. CamberosM
- 19K. CastañedaM
- 11B. GutiérrezM
- 17R. MarínF
- 33J. CarrilloM
- 59C. IndaM
- 37R. LedezmaD
- 18J. PérezM
- 16L. ReyD
- 190Ángel Robinho RomeroG
- 9Á. SepúlvedaF
- 10E. ÁlvarezF
- 57J. HernándezF
- 25G. AllisonG
- 24B. DuarteD
- 13D. ReyesD
- 2L. AbasciaD
- 27D. ParraD
- 4Carlo AdrianoM
- 5S. HomenchenkoM
- 16E. GiménezM
- 11M. CoronelM
- 7Iker BenitoM
- 9A. ÁvilaF
- 30J. MartinezM
- 1J. HernándezG
- 29W. MadridM
- 17D. MuñozM
- 8B. ParraM
- 26E. PérezF
- 23J. RoblesM
- 15C. VillanuevaD
- 12Paulo VictorD
Form going into Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro
Guadalajara Chivas
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Club America20 September 2026
- W3-0Pumas UNAM14 September 2026
- W3-0away to Atletico San Luis5 September 2026
- D1-1away to CF Pachuca29 August 2026
- W5-2Club Tijuana22 August 2026
Club Queretaro
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Leon21 September 2026
- W1-0away to Club Tijuana12 September 2026
- W3-1away to Atlas29 August 2026
- L1-2Toluca22 August 2026
- D0-0away to Pumas UNAM16 August 2026
What these results say
- Guadalajara Chivas went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Guadalajara Chivas scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Guadalajara Chivas had three goals or more.
- Club Queretaro scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 30 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro
- 17 January 2026Guadalajara Chivas 2–1 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 23 October 2025Club Queretaro 1–0 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
- 1 February 2025Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 17 July 2024Club Queretaro 0–2 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
- 21 April 2024Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Club QueretaroLiga MX
Leading scorers: Guadalajara Chivas and Club Queretaro
Guadalajara Chivas
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.
Club Queretaro
GoalsAssists
- A. Ávila60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Club Queretaro won 2–0 at Guadalajara Chivas. The model had leaned towards a win for Guadalajara Chivas at 49% and given a win for Club Queretaro 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ali Ávila 12' for Club Queretaro, Mateo Coronel 68' for Club Queretaro. Sent off: Omar Govea (Guadalajara Chivas) 90'.
How the call on Guadalajara Chivas v Club Queretaro has moved
First published on 12 Sep at 48% / 26% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 49% / 28% / 23%: the biggest move is Club Queretaro's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Guadalajara Chivas win49%▲ +1
- Draw28%▲ +2
- Club Queretaro win23%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.