Guingamp vs Boulogne Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Guingamp 1-0 Boulogne.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Guingamp, 30% draw, 21% Boulogne — fair odds of 2.04, 3.33 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Guingamp at 49% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Guingamp vs Boulogne
Guingamp
- L1-2away to Metz8 August 2026
Boulogne
- D0-0Nancy8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Guingamp | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Guingamp vs Boulogne
- 3 January 2026Guingamp 3–0 BoulogneLigue 2
- 17 October 2025Boulogne 2–2 GuingampLigue 2
- 17 February 2012Guingamp 1–1 BoulogneLigue 2
- 20 September 2011Boulogne 2–0 GuingampLigue 2
Leading scorers: Guingamp and Boulogne
Guingamp
- D. Gomis2 goals1 assists
- S. Kielt2 goals
Boulogne
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.