Nancy vs Montpellier Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Nancy 0-1 Montpellier.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Nancy, 29% draw, 32% Montpellier — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Nancy at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Nancy vs Montpellier
Nancy
- D0-0away to Boulogne8 August 2026
Montpellier
- D1-1Dijon8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nancy | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nancy vs Montpellier
- 6 March 2026Nancy 0–3 MontpellierLigue 2
- 25 October 2025Montpellier 4–1 NancyLigue 2
- 30 October 2019Montpellier 3–2 NancyCoupe de la Ligue
- 11 February 2017Nancy 0–3 MontpellierLigue 1
- 26 November 2016Montpellier 0–0 NancyLigue 1
- 16 February 2013Montpellier 1–0 NancyLigue 1